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Tags: joe biden | 2024 election | democrat | primary | challenge | donald trump | polls

FiveThirtyEight Analysis: Dems Embrace Alternatives to Biden

By    |   Monday, 06 March 2023 09:44 AM EST

Conditions might be ripe for a Democrat primary challenge against President Joe Biden, according to FiveThirtyEight, which analyzes opinion polls.

FiveThirtyEight noted that an ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted Jan. 27 to Feb. 1 found just 31% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they want the party to renominate Biden; 58% said they would prefer someone else.

The lack of enthusiasm is in contrast to what FiveThirtyEight noted in historical CNN polling that found majorities of Democrats wanted to renominate President Bill Clinton in 1996 and President Barack Obama in 2012, and that a majority of Republicans wanted to renominate former President Donald Trump in 2020.

FiveThirtyEight also noted its own breakdown of early polling in the Democratic primary contest shows Biden attracting nowhere near majority support, getting just 36% of Democratic registered voters in a Feb. 15-16 national poll from Harris/the Harvard University Center for American Political Studies.

The the rest of the poll's respondents opted for Vice President Kamala Harris, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.

Biden's only challenger so far is self-help author Marianne Williamson.

A Morning Consult/Politico poll from early February showed Democrats are not looking for a progressive, with just 21% of those voters agreeing that Biden is too conservative.

FiveThirtyEight suggested voters want someone more electable, citing an SRS/CNN poll from 2022 showing a plurality of Democratic-aligned voters who wanted to replace him on the ticket said it was because they were afraid he would lose in the general election.

According to a recent Associated Press-NORC poll, many Democrats say Biden, 80, is too old.

That same poll found only 23% of U.S. adults say they have "a great deal" of confidence in Biden to effectively manage the White House compared with the 28% who said that a year ago — and significantly lower than the 44% who said so as Biden took office.

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Conditions might be ripe for a Democrat primary challenge against President Joe Biden, according to FiveThirtyEight, which analyzes opinion polls.
joe biden, 2024 election, democrat, primary, challenge, donald trump, polls
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2023-44-06
Monday, 06 March 2023 09:44 AM
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