GOP nominee Donald Trump may move into the White House if he wins Florida on Tuesday, Scott Rasmussen said Monday, while discussing the RealClearPolitics electoral maps on Fox News' "Fox & Friends."
"The issue here is so many states are so close," the Rasmussen Reports founder said. "If you were a Hillary Clinton fan and you looked at this map, you would say, 'wow, Nevada, Trump is ahead in the polls, but we all know the early turnout is not looking so good for him so maybe this isn't real.'"
But Florida is key to a Trump win, and if he wins, he still has a chance, said Rasmussen. If he loses there, "it gets very difficult."
In theory, though, if Trump loses Florida, he could still win Pennsylvania and Colorado and squeeze out the 270 electoral votes he needs.
"It's hard to see, how do you lose Florida and win Pennsylvania?" said Rasmussen. "The key to Pennsylvania will be the vote around the Philadelphia area. What will be the turnout? Pennsylvania is a state that always looks good for the Republicans. It's tough."
There is no early voting in Pennsylvania or New Hampshire, said Rasmussen, so that could be "good for the Republican side."
Trump could also eke out a win in the Rest Belt, where workers feel dispossessed, said Rasmussen.
"That's why he's in Minnesota today, why he's doing well in Iowa," he told the program. "There's an assumption by the Trump campaign that Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin have a lot of common ground. If we can win one, we can win them all.
"The polls right now show Hillary Clinton leading by a couple of points. The polls can easily be off by three or so points in either direction. If they go in one direction because youth turnout is down and minority turnout is down, Donald Trump will pick up the states he needs. If they go in the other direction, it could be a long night."
Sandy Fitzgerald ✉
Sandy Fitzgerald has more than three decades in journalism and serves as a general assignment writer for Newsmax covering news, media, and politics.
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