Politico has outlined four missteps it believes could sink Hillary Clinton in her quest to win the White House.
They are:
- Taking Hispanic enthusiasm for granted
- Alienating the young
- Letting establishment Republicans find another place to go
- Fumbling on trade
"Clinton remains a shaky candidate with historically high negatives, an email scandal that keeps getting worse and a stubborn primary opponent whose supporters may yet become a midsummer nightmare in Philadelphia," Politico's David Bernstein writes.
"The cold math of a potential Clinton defeat is not to be found in national polls, but in the Electoral College — and within each state's unique demographics and culture.
"[Donald] Trump won't dramatically remake the political map, but he doesn't need to. He just needs to squeeze a little more out of certain voters in certain states, while Clinton draws a little less."
Bernstein's analysis of the potential Clinton loss:
"Trump survives a Latino surge in the South and West; Clinton fails to bring home young voters in the Southeast and Midwest; Libertarians give Trump a foothold in the Northeast; the Rust Belt puts the nail in the coffin — and with somewhere between 274 and 325 electoral votes … Trump becomes the 45th president of the United States."
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