The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) reports that October was the best fundraising month in its 98-year history. The group's vice chairman for finance, Ohio Sen. Rob Portman, said Tuesday that it raised a record $17 million last month.
He attributed the committee's success to the "enthusiasm and energy on our side right now" over the
prospect of gaining a Republican majority in both houses of Congress.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has yet to release its October fundraising numbers.
One area where Republicans have gained the upper hand is Senate spending by campaigns, committees and outside groups. Data provided to
NBC News by Smart Media, a Republican ad purchaser, indicated that Republican-aligned groups outspent Democrats by a margin of $208 million to $169 million in top-tier Senate races in Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, and New Hampshire.
The new fundraising and spending data come amid a growing consensus that Republicans will retake the Senate.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast said Sunday that Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of retaining control of the Senate. But the more important question now "might be the size of the Republican majority come next Congress," the forecast said.
"
New polls out suggest that Republicans may not just win the six seats they need for control, but quite possibly eight seats."
The
Washington Post reports that three election models — its own, and those of FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times — all give Republicans at least a 68 percent chance of winning the necessary six seats to control the Senate.
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