Former President Donald Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris by 4 points in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania, according to a poll released Tuesday.
The survey from Susquehanna Polling and Research shows Harris leading Trump 47% to 43%, with independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. pulling in 4% and 7% undecided.
Pennsylvania might be the key to victory for either candidate. Trump won the state in 2016 and President Joe Biden won it in 2020.
CNN's Harry Enten on Tuesday noted that even if Harris loses states Biden won in 2020 such as Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, she can still gain the 270 electoral votes necessary to win by winning Pennsylvania.
"Why is Pennsylvania so important? Well, it has so many electoral votes," Enten said. "It has 19 electoral votes, right? So if you're able to put that in your back pocket, all of a sudden your electoral map for Kamala Harris becomes that much easier. And it makes Donald Trump's map a lot more harder.
"If she [Harris] was able to sweep those Great Lake battleground states — Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania — I know all those states are close right now, that would get her to exactly 270 electoral votes. The Great Lakes path is wide open for the vice president."
Enten noted that with the current map of electoral votes, Pennsylvania has increased its importance.
"The chance that this state puts either Harris or Trump over the top in the Electoral College, once again, look at Pennsylvania as the clear one runaway winner here. A 30% chance," Enten said.
The poll was taken July 22-28 among 600 likely voters in Pennsylvania and has a sampling error of 4 percentage points.
James Morley III ✉
James Morley III is a writer with more than two decades of experience in entertainment, travel, technology, and science and nature.
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