CDC's Flawed Epidemiology: 299,000 'Excess' Deaths in 2020

The author is a non-clinician.

On Oct. 20, two weeks before the presidential election, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention published online a flawed epidemiological study that claimed "299,000 excess deaths" occurred in America between late January and early October 2020.

The CDC report attributed 198,000 of these misleadingly labelled "excess deaths," or 66%, to the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Focusing on the "age, race and ethnicity" of these 299,000 deceased Americans, the study inexcusably ignored a small group of incompetent Democratic governors, who are responsible for a disproportionate majority of the several hundred thousand additional deaths in 2020.

This chart compares monthly deaths from all causes in 2019 and 2020, between March and May, which was the peak period of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic:

Thus, 142,000 more Americans died between March 1 and May 31 this year, as compared to total fatalities in the same period in 2019.

Five states with Democratic governors are responsible for 79,900, or 56%, of these additional 142,000 all-causes deaths:

But in 2019, these combined population of these dystopian Democratic states was 64 million, or just 19% of America's 329 million.

By contrast, this table lists the additional deaths, from March and through May between 2019 and 2020, in the five most populous states with Republican governors:

Thus, these states with competent Republican governors had only 15,000 of America's 142,000 additional deaths this year between March and May, or 11%.

Moreover, the combined population of these Red states last year was 81 million, or 25% of nation's total.

Since the CDC's death counts from all causes in 2020 are complete except for December, these tables include states that have had large numbers of additional deaths so far in 2020, as compared to the final totals for 2019:

Five of these populous Red states (except Ohio) will have suffered more deaths from all causes in the second half of 2020, than in the first half. Three major reasons are: the nationwide increase in deaths from pneumonia and drug overdoses; and the increase in COVID infections in Texas and Arizona originating in Mexico.

However, these additional deaths in Texas, Florida and Arizona have disproportionately occurred in Democratic-run cities and their surrounding suburbs.

Thus, 11,388 of Texas' 25,348 COVID deaths, or 45%, have been in Democratic strongholds.

Thus, 59% of Arizona's 7,971 COVID deaths occurred in this Democratic-run mega-county.

Thus, 9,653 of Florida's 20,568 SARS-CoV-2 fatalities, or 47%, were in these five deep-Blue counties.

Similarly, in the heavily populated states with Democratic governors, many COVID deaths occurred in the Democratic-run, dysfunctional large cities, including New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Detroit and Philadelphia.

When the number of deaths in America in 2020 are completely counted early next year, the total will be roughly 3,150,000, or 295,000 more deaths than the 2,855,000 in 2019.

Therefore, the CDC's claim, that 299,000 "excess deaths" occurred this year between late January and early October, is egregiously wrong.

Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Report's — More Here.