Tags: | Barack Obama | Obama | Republicans | Democrats | midterm elections

Analyst: 'Things Falling Apart' Weaken Obama, Spur GOP in Midterms

By    |   Monday, 03 Nov 2014 12:52 PM

Should Democrats experience significant losses in Tuesday’s midterm elections  a distinct possibility, according to analysts across the political spectrum   a large part of the problem will be a sense of "things falling apart" at home and abroad, one Republican-leaning analyst told The New York Times.

Polls suggest voters trust Republicans more than Democrats on domestic and foreign policy, and the number of Americans who believe the United States to be "on the wrong track" has increased from 57 percent in January 2013 to 66 percent in the most recent CBS News poll a period during which the unemployment rate dropped from 7.9 percent to 5.9 percent.

When his economic record is criticized, President Obama points to the falling unemployment rate as evidence his policies are working. The president’s critics, like Steve Moore of the Heritage Foundation, counter that the drop in the official unemployment rate results at least in part from the fact that many Americans have dropped out of the labor force. They also point to statistics indicating that laid-off workers increasingly find themselves forced to settle for jobs that pay less than the ones they lost.

Both sides have figures they can they can point to in making their respective cases about the direction of the national economy, and in the end, the voters will decide which ones most accurately show what is taking place. Despite the drop in the official unemployment rate, the public mood right now appears to be trending against Obama and the Democrats.

Foreign policy has also turned into a growing problem for Obama in his second term. Americans have generally agreed with the president’s initiatives such as withdrawing troops and winding down wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. But the troubling rise of the Islamic State (ISIS), accompanied by its videotaped beheadings of prisoners and other reports of atrocities, have led many people to conclude that Obama’s foreign policy approach is failing.

When additional problems including the IRS scandal, myriad failures at the Department of Veterans Affairs, and the tumultuous rollout of the HealthCare.gov website are added to the political mix, many voters have apparently developed a sense that government is failing to perform its job competently, and they place most of the blame on the party in the White House.

These problems appear to have taken a heavy toll on Obama’s standing with the American people and on the Democratic Party’s chances of success in critical races this year. His Gallup Poll approval level reached 69 percent in January 2009 but today is just 40 percent.

This "helps explain why Republicans are favored in seven of the 10 most closely watched Senate races," according to The New York Times. If the outcome in each of these Senate races matches the current poll averages, Republicans would win back the majority in the Senate, holding 52 seats, up from the current 45.

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Should Democrats experience significant losses in Tuesday's midterm elections, a large part of the problem will be a sense of "things falling apart" at home and abroad, one Republican-leaning analyst told The New York Times.
Obama, Republicans, Democrats, midterm elections
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2014-52-03
Monday, 03 Nov 2014 12:52 PM
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