Deaths related to coronavirus infections in the United States are not rising as fast as the total number of cases, but the figure could soon rise, according to a new report.
The Washington Post claimed that as the infection numbers rise in several states, the death count will likely, unfortunately, soon follow.
"As long as there is a fair amount of testing going on, if there is an uptick in COVID-19 infections, then we are likely to see that in the confirmed case data before we see it in the death data," Nicholas G. Reich, an associate professor of biostatistics at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, told the Post.
Reich said there will be "rises in COVID-19 deaths over the next month in many of the states that are seeing upticks in cases, like Texas, California, Florida and others, even though the deaths have been either steady or declining in recent weeks."
After many Americans followed stay-at-home orders in March and April, the numbers appeared to be leveling off. But now with states reopening their economies and people venturing out and gathering, the number of U.S. cases is on the rise yet again. On Wednesday, 38,386 new cases were reported — the second highest total during the pandemic. On April 24, 39,072 new cases were reported.
More than 2.4 million Americans have tested positive for the virus and upward of 124,000 have died.
The seven-day moving average of U.S. deaths has been on a steady decline since late April, but the curve now seems to be leveling off — which could lead to another increase, particularly in the wake of so many new cases.
According to covidexitstrategy.org, a website run by public health and crisis experts, 30 states are "trending poorly" in terms of new cases being reported, hospitalizations, the availability of ICU beds, and other factors.
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