Patrick Allocco to Newsmax: Trump Approval 'Most Stable' in 30 Years

President Donald Trump's approval rating remains high and stable compared with other modern presidents, according to polling expert Patrick Allocco on Newsmax .

He disputed recent headlines suggesting Trump has hit the lowest point of his second term. Allocco is a pollster and editor of the Zoose Political Index.

"I woke up to the sky is falling this morning, and I can assure you that it's not," Allocco said on Newsmax's "Finnerty" Monday night, pointing to Gallup's historical trend line for Trump, which shows the annual approval measurement for Trump is matching his first-term average.

"During Trump's first term, the average overall approval from Gallup was 41. Isn't it interesting? We're exactly at 41 average with Gallup right now," he said.

He also compared other recent polling releases, citing Reuters/Ipsos figures.

"Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 38%," Allocco said.

But Allocco pointed out polls like Gallup and Ipsos use “all adults” in their methodology, which typically skew results against Trump.

"It really comes down to their methodology," he said. "When you look at most of these polls, all of them actually, except for Rasmussen, right now, that does a daily tracking. They're looking at all adults."

"They're looking at adults that don't vote, adults that may be low-engagement, low-information voters, as opposed to implementing screens of registered voters and likely voters," he said.

"Once you start to look at registered voters and likely voters, it boosts him up roughly 5 points, puts him in the mid-40s, somewhere between that 45 and 47% range that we discussed."

And Allocco says Trump’s approval poll numbers have been remarkably consistent during his presidency.

"What we're seeing is that Trump is the most stable, has the most stable approval, and the narrowest approval band of any president over a 30-year period," Allocco said.

Allocco contrasted that with large swings he said were seen in prior administrations.

"If you look at [Joe] Biden in just his one term, he lived within a 20-point swing. If you look at Obama, it was a 36-point swing. If you look at Bush 43, it was a 65-point swing."

Allocco said Trump's support tends to return to a consistent band.

He said party polarization helps explain why the president's overall approval remains within a narrow range, with high partisan alignment leaving a comparatively small pool of persuadable voters.

"Sure, it comes down to the polarization in both parties," Allocco said. "If you've got 87% approval for Donald Trump and Republicans, and you've got 90% of Democrats that are aligning with their candidate, then you're looking at an extremely small sliver of the pie... that you're looking at the independents."

Looking toward the midterms, Allocco said the most meaningful movement may come from a specific subset of voters he described as a low-engagement demographic.

"We've identified the 21- to 44-year-old, low-information, low-engagement, female voter we call the Phoenix," he said. "That is the one that's going to be fluctuating to the midterms."

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