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Swing State Poll: Clinton Leads Trump in Florida; Dead Heat in Ohio, Pa.

Image: Swing State Poll: Clinton Leads Trump in Florida; Dead Heat in Ohio, Pa.
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By    |   Tuesday, 21 Jun 2016 07:31 AM

A new Quinnipiac University swing state poll puts Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in Florida, the two candidates in a dead heat in Ohio, and showing Pennsylvania is too close to call, while showing that Bernie Sanders still polls higher than Clinton over Trump in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

According to the poll numbers released on Tuesday:
  • Florida: Clinton 47 percent;  Trump 39
  • Ohio: Clinton and Trump, 40 percent each
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton 42 percent; Trump 41
The poll conducted from June 8-19, surveyed 975 Florida voters with a margin of error of  3.1 percentage points; 971 Ohio voters with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points; and 950 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

According to Quinnipiac, the focus was on the three states because no candidate since 1960 has won the presidential race without winning at least two of them.

Under potential presidential matchups:
  • Florida: Clinton over Trump 47 - 39 percent, compared to 43 - 42 percent May 10. Sanders tops Trump 45 - 39 percent.
  • Ohio: Clinton and Trump tied 40 - 40 percent, compared to a small 43 - 39 percent Trump lead May 10. Sanders leads Trump 48 - 38 percent.
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton at 42 percent to Trump's 41 percent, virtually unchanged from the 43 - 42 percent lean to Clinton May 10. Sanders tops Trump 47 - 40 percent. With third party candidates in the race, results are:
  • Florida: Clinton tops Trump 42 - 36 percent, with 7 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein;
  • Ohio: Clinton at 38 percent, with Trump at 36 percent, Johnson at 8 percent and Stein at 3 percent;
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton at 39 percent to Trump's 36 percent, with 9 percent for Johnson and 4 percent for Stein.
And by the states, Florida voters gave both Trump and Clinton negative favorability ratings, of 39-53 percent for her and 33-61 percent for him. In other Florida numbers:
  • Men: Drops from 49 - 36 percent May 10 to 45 - 41 percent today.
  • Women: Clinton's lead grows from 48 - 35 percent in May to 52 - 34 percent today.
  • Republicans: Trump 82 - 8 percent
  • Democrats: Clinton 93 - 2 among Democrats and 44 - 35 percent among independent voters.
  • White voters: Trump over Clinton, 51 - 36 percent
  • Non-white voters: Clinton over Trump,  72 - 15 percent.
In other breakdowns in Florida:
  • 60 - 31 percent that Clinton is better prepared to be president;
  • 47 - 36 percent that she has higher moral standards;
  • 53 - 33 percent that Clinton is more intelligent;
  • 43 percent say Trump is more honest and trustworthy and 40 percent trust Clinton;
  • 44 percent that Clinton is more inspiring, with 42 percent for Trump;
  • 46 percent that Trump is a stronger leader, with 45 percent for Clinton;
  • Better creating jobs, Trump, 49 - 41 percent;
  • Immigration, Clinton, 50 - 43 percent;
  • Against ISIS, Trump, 48 - 42 percent;
  • Responding to an international crisis, Clinton, 54 - 39 percent;
  • Inviting to a barbecue, Trump, 48-40 percent;
  • In a personal crisis, Clinton, 49 - 40 percent.
In Ohio, voters gave Clinton a 35-59 percent favorability rating, with Trump at 32-59 percent. In other numbers:
  • Women: Clinton from 43 - 36 percent over Trump May 10 to 48 - 31 percent today.
  • Men: Trump 51 - 36 percent in May and 49 - 32 percent today.
  • Republicans: Trump 76 - 6 percent among Republicans and 41 - 32 percent among independent voters;
  • Democrats: Clinton 80 - 9 percent;
  • White voters: Trump 46 - 32 percent;
  • Non-white voters: Clinton 78 - 8 percent.
In other traits:
  • 57 - 33 percent, Clinton is better prepared to be president;
  • 45 - 37 percent that she has higher moral standards;
  • 53 - 36 percent that Clinton is more intelligent;
  • 44 - 37 percent that Trump is more honest and trustworthy;
  • 46 - 40 percent that Trump is more inspiring;
  • 49 - 41 percent that Trump is a stronger leader.
  • Creating jobs, Trump, 52-39 percent;
  • Immigration, Clinton, 53-53 percent;
  • ISIS, Trump, 54-38 percent;
  • International crisis, Clinton, 52-41 percent;
  • Barbecue, Trump, 50-36 percent;
  • Personal crisis, Clinton, 45-42 percent.
In Pennsylvania, where voters give Clinton a negative 41 - 56 percent favorability rating, and Trump a negative 35 - 60 percent:
  • Women: Clinton leads 50 - 34 percent;
  • Men: Trump leads 50 - 33 percent;
  • Republicans: 78 - 7 percent and 42 - 34 percent among independent voters;
  • Democrats: Clinton, 82 - 7 percent.
  • White voters: Trump, 47 - 38 percent;
  • Non-white voters: Clinton, 66 - 15 percent.
In other traits:
  • 59 - 32 percent that Clinton is better prepared to be president;
  • 47 - 37 percent that she has higher moral standards;
  • 54 - 33 percent that Clinton is more intelligent;
  • 44 - 40 percent that Trump is more honest and trustworthy;
  • 45 - 41 percent that Trump is more inspiring;
  • 47 percent that Trump is a stronger leader and 46 percent that Clinton is stronger;
  • Creating jobs, Trump, 52-39 percent;
  • Immigration, Clinton, 51-44 percent;
  • ISIS, Trump, 51-42 percent;
  • International crisis, Clinton, 54-38 percent;
  • Barbecue, Trump, 52-36 percent;
  • Personal crisis, 45-44 percent, Clinton.

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A new Quinnipiac University swing state poll puts Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in Florida, the two candidates in a dead heat in Ohio, and showing Pennsylvania is too close to call...
Swing State, Poll, Quinnipiac, Clinton, Trump
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2016-31-21
Tuesday, 21 Jun 2016 07:31 AM
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