Tags: 2020 Elections | poll | trump | biden | trafalgar | georgia

Poll Gives Trump More Than 6 Point Lead in Georgia

donald trump waves to supporters in front of flags
President Donald Trump waves to supporters after speaking at his Black Voices for Trump rally Friday, Nov. 8, 2019, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

By    |   Monday, 10 August 2020 06:10 PM

President Donald Trump leads presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the state of Georgia by 6½ percentage points in a poll of likely voters conducted in mid-July, contradicting previous surveys.

The poll by the Trafalgar Group, a Georgia-based consulting firm, of 1,023 respondents taken July 15-18 showed Trump with 49.8% support to Biden’s 43.3% with Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen getting 2.4% and 2.2% going to “another party candidate.” Only 2.4% were undecided.

The margin of error was 2.98%.The poll was in contrast to several other surveys, such as a CBS News Battleground Tracker poll released Aug. 2 that showed Biden with a 46%-45% lead in Georgia among likely voters. Additionally, a Monmouth University poll on July 29 had Trump and Biden tied at 47% among registered voters.

On June 29, Public Policy had Biden leading Trump 49%-45% among registered voters.

Demographically, the Trafalgar Group poll results were compiled from 55.6% of women and 44.4% of men; 61.1% white, 33.6% Black, 2.8% Hispanic and 2.1% Asian; and 37% between the ages of 45-64, 22.7% 65 and older, 16% 35-44, 14.8% 25-34 and 9.5% 18-24.

The results did not break down the respondents by political affiliation.

Respondents were taken from each of Georgia’s 14 congressional districts ranging from 5.8% in District 2 to 8.2% in District 11.

Trafalgar was one of the few polls given credit, albeit after-the-fact, for correctly predicting Trump's victory in the 2016 election.

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President Donald Trump leads presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the state of Georgia by 6.5 percentage points in a poll of likely voters conducted in mid-July, contradicting previous surveys.
poll, trump, biden, trafalgar, georgia
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2020-10-10
Monday, 10 August 2020 06:10 PM
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