Ben Carson and Donald Trump are now in a statistical tie for the GOP nomination among Republicans, according to a
Ipsos/Reuters online poll. But among overall voters, Trump came out ahead of Carson by several points.
Among the 584 Republicans polled, the numbers were:
- Trump, 29 percent;
- Carson, 27 percent;
- Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 9 percent;
- Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, 6 percent;
- Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 5 percent;
- Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, 4 percent;
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, 3 percent
- Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 2 percent;
- South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, and former New York Gov. George Pataki, 1 percent
- Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore, less than 1 percent.
And among the 1,002 total voters:
- Trump, 25 percent;
- Carson, 17 percent;
- Bush, 7 percent;
- Rubio, 5 percent;
- Cruz, 4 percent;
- Paul, 3 percent;
- Christie, Kasich, Fiorina, 3 percent;
- Lindsey Graha, 2 percent;
- Huckabee, Santorum, Jindal 1 percent;
- Pataki, Gilmore, less than 1 percent;
Meanwhile, if the Republican race was to be held between Carson, Bush, and Trump, Carson would lead with 40 percent of Republicans, followed by 34 percent for Trump and 21 percent for Bush.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's lead remained solid, with 53 percent of Democrats choosing her, followed by 33 percent for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and two percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 24-28, using a sample of 1,678 adult Americans, including 676 Democrats, 584 Republicans, and 226 independents who were interviewed online. The poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points for Democrats, 4.6 points for Republicans, and 7.4 percent for independents.
Sandy Fitzgerald ✉
Sandy Fitzgerald has more than three decades in journalism and serves as a general assignment writer for Newsmax covering news, media, and politics.
© 2026 Newsmax. All rights reserved.