Democrats hold a slight advantage over Republicans in upcoming elections in battleground House districts, most of which are currently held by the GOP, according to a new poll from The Washington Post.
The Post and George Mason University’s Schar School surveyed 2,672 likely voters in 69 House districts, 63 of which are currently held by Republicans, and found that most voters favor the Democratic nominee over the GOP nominee. In 2016, those same districts preferred the GOP candidates.
- 50 percent prefer Democratic candidate in 2018
- 46 percent prefer Republican candidate in 2018
- 56 percent preferred GOP candidate in 2016
- 41 percent preferred Democratic candidate in 2016
Men in these districts tend to choose the Republican candidate, while women are more likely to vote for the Democrat.
President Donald Trump won most of these districts, 48, in 2016, while Hillary Clinton won only 21. Democrats hold a sizable lead in the districts won by Clinton, but the ones that voted for Trump are almost evenly split.
The newspaper notes that the overwhelming majority of voters in the battleground districts, 78 percent, are white, and that most, 68 percent, do not have a college degree.
The Post and the Schar School surveyed 2,672 likely voters in 69 battleground states across the country from Sept. 19 to Oct. 5, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
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