There is little evidence to suggest that backers of President Donald Trump are disproportionately likely to conceal their support from pollsters only to go ahead and vote for him on Election Day, according to the HuffPost.
Still, a poll of Pennsylvanians by Monmouth University earlier in July found that 57% of voters believe there are a number of secret voters in their communities who support the president but won’t tell anyone about it.
The American Association for Public Opinion Research looked at the potential impact of such voters in the aftermath of the 2016 election. The group concluded that those voters who made up their minds in the last week before the 2016 election heavily favored Trump — particularly in Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
A number of other tests to assess the possibility of shy Trump voters “yielded no evidence to support" the theory, according to HuffPost.
And the website noted there was no evidence to suggest voters might have been less inclined to reveal their support for Trump to female or non-white pollsters than to white males.
HuffPost reported that all polls are subject to a degree of uncertainty, but there is no evidence that Trump voters misleading pollsters is a major source of it.
However, political strategist and pollster Robert Cahaly said in June that he continues to see signs of “shy” or “reluctant” Trump voters who do not want to tell the truth about who they are voting for.
Jeffrey Rodack ✉
Jeffrey Rodack, who has nearly a half century in news as a senior editor and city editor for national and local publications, has covered politics for Newsmax for nearly seven years.
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