Wall Street Rallies to the Edge of Its All-Time High

U.S. stocks rallied to the edge of their all-time high and crude oil prices eased as hopes climbed that the United States and Iran may try again on talks to end their war.

The S&P 500 rose 1.2% Tuesday, bringing the index within 0.2% of its record set in January. The Dow gained 0.7%, and the Nasdaq composite climbed 2%.

If talks succeed and the war ends up being only a temporary setback for the global economy, investors can turn their attention back to the rising profits for companies that had markets worldwide doing well before the fighting began.

Wall Street's stellar performance Tuesday followed gains for stock markets worldwide as Pakistan said it was trying to bring the United States and Iran together for more talks. Such prospects also helped lower the price of oil, whose production and transportation has been snarled by the fighting.

The price for a barrel of Brent crude oil, the international standard, fell 3.8% to $95.56. That’s still above its roughly $70 level from before the war, but it’s well below its peak of $119 reached a couple times when worries about the war hit their heights.

To be sure, hope has often quickly swung into doubt in financial markets since the war began, which has caused extreme and sudden reversals.

Much of the stress has been due to the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway that’s the main avenue for crude oil produced in the Persian Gulf area to reach customers worldwide. Blockages there have kept oil off the global market, which has in turn driven up its price.

And that has meant a blast of higher inflation. In the United States, inflation at the wholesale level accelerated to 4% in March from 3.4% the month before, according to the latest data released Tuesday.

That was actually better than the 4.6% rate economists expected, but it could filter down to U.S. households if businesses fully pass on the increases.

The effect is worldwide. Global inflation this year looks set to accelerate to 4.4% from 4.1% in 2025, according to the International Monetary Fund, which had earlier thought inflation would slow to 3.8%.

The IMF on Tuesday also downgraded its forecast for global economic growth to 3.1% this year from the 3.3% it had forecast in January.

On Wall Street, strong profit reports from several companies and expectations for more helped make up for such worries. At their heart, stock prices tend to follow the path of corporate profits over the long term.

BlackRock gained 4.5%, and Citigroup rose 2.9% after the financial companies reported stronger profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

JPMorgan Chase also delivered a better-than-expected quarter, but its stock dipped 0.7% as CEO Jamie Dimon said bank officials cannot predict how the “increasingly complex set of risks” will play out given so much uncertainty.

Amazon climbed 3.3% after saying it would buy Globalstar, a mobile satellite services company, for $90 per share in either cash or Amazon stock. Globalstar jumped 10.7%.

Software companies also rallied for a second day, recovering more of their sharp losses from earlier in the year taken on worries that they could be made obsolete by artificial-intelligence technology. AppLovin rose 3.1%, and an ETF from iShares tracking the software industry added 1.4%.

That in turn helped private-credit companies rebound. These companies have lent money to software businesses and others that may be under threat from AI, and they've seen investors rush to try to pull their money recently.

Blue Owl Capital rose 8% to trim its loss for the year so far below 39%. Ares Management climbed 5.8%, and Apollo Global Management rose 3.7%.

They helped offset a 4.8% drop for Wells Fargo, which reported weaker revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

In stock markets abroad, indexes rose across much of Europe and Asia. South Korea’s Kospi jumped 2.7%, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 2.4% for two of the bigger gains.

In the bond market, Treasury yields ticked lower as the fall for oil prices took pressure off inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.27% from 4.30% late Monday.