Skip to main content
Tags: polls | presidential | election | race | donald trump

NBC, Emerson, TIPP, ABC Have Race Statistical Tie

By    |   Sunday, 03 November 2024 01:09 PM EST

As Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump makes his closing argument in a series of campaign rallies in three states Sunday and Vice President Kamala Harris rides the coattail of an "SNL" appearance, the final polls around nation are showing the race as a dead heat in the final hours.

Urgent Election News: Watch all Trump rallies, breaking Trump news events and get Election day results immediately on Newsmax+. More: get instant analysis from Dick Morris, Alan Dershowitz, Mercedes Schlapp, Mike Huckabee, and so many more. Newsmax+ features hundreds of movies, documentaries and specials, including Jon Voight’s new series on the Bible! Begin Newsmax+ FREE today here: NewsmaxPlus.com

Four leading media polls have the race as a statistical tie nationally, a data point that is generally more favorable to Democrats because of the wide voter registration advantage in the largest states of California (54 Electoral College votes), New York (28), and Illinois (19).

The RealClearPolitics polling average has Trump ahead by a fraction of a percentage point (plus 0.2%), with three of the most recent polls at NBC News, Emerson College, and TIPP all having the race as a statistical tie. The ABC News/Ipsos poll has Harris leading just outside the margin of error, while Atlas Intel's poll has Trump with a 1.8-point leader, just inside the margin of error.

This weekend's latest polls:

  • Final NBC News poll: Dead heat tie between Trump 49% and Harris 49% among registered voters, with the margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points.
  • Final Emerson College poll: Dead heat tie between Trump 49% and Harris 49% among likely voters, with the margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points.
  • TIPP Tracking Poll: Trump leads by 1 point (49%-48%), with the margin of error plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
  • ABC News Poll: Harris leads by 3 points (49%-46%) among likely voters, with the margin of error plus or minus 2 percentage points.
  • Atlas Intel's poll: Trump leads by 1.8 points (49%-47.2%) among likely voters, with the margin of error plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Invest in Newsmax: Own Shares, Find Out About IPO Plan, Buy Shares, See More Here

"Harris was +2 in early October, +4 (a slight edge) last week and is +3 in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates with fieldwork by Ipsos," ABC News wrote in its analysis. "That scant 3-point difference with Trump matches the average Democratic-Republican gap in the last eight presidential elections, of which Democrats won the popular vote in seven.

"Regardless, the result leaves a wide-open field for the vagaries of the Electoral College."

Latest: Trump Adviser Warns of Coming War with China, See More

The Coming War in China

Eric Mack

Eric Mack has been a writer and editor at Newsmax since 2016. He is a 1998 Syracuse University journalism graduate and a New York Press Association award-winning writer.

© 2024 Newsmax. All rights reserved.


Newsfront
As Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump makes his closing argument in a series of campaign rallies in three states Sunday and Vice President Kamala Harris rides the coattail of an "SNL" appearance, the final polls around nation are showing the race as a dead heat in...
polls, presidential, election, race, donald trump
457
2024-09-03
Sunday, 03 November 2024 01:09 PM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
TOP

Interest-Based Advertising | Do not sell or share my personal information

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
Download the Newsmax App
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved