The dozens of classified U.S. documents leaked on social media Friday show that the Pentagon has concerns over Ukraine's imminent counteroffensive against Russia.
Reviewed by The Washington Post this weekend, one file from early February indicates that challenges in amassing troops, ammunition, and equipment could cause Kyiv's military to fall "well short" of its goal.
The document details that Ukraine's strategy involves reclaiming Russian-occupied areas in the East while simultaneously pushing into the southern Kherson region, cutting off Moscow's land bridge to Crimea.
However, entrenched Russian defenses coupled with "enduring Ukrainian deficiencies in training and munitions supplies probably will strain progress and exacerbate casualties during the offensive," the document read.
It further warns of significant "force generation and sustainment shortfalls" and the likelihood that the operation will result in only "modest territorial gains."
The Post said the document's markings suggest it was produced by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, with intelligence gathered from the Central Intelligence Agency or the National Security Agency.
When questioned by the outlet, one senior Ukrainian official did not dispute the revelations, saying that logistical backlogs have slowed promised deliveries of U.S. and NATO military assistance.
The leaked document is "partially true, but the most critical part is a delay of the already promised systems, which delays training of newly formed brigades and the counteroffensive as a whole," the official admitted.
But another Ukrainian official contested that the document's information was groundbreaking enough to compromise the planned counteroffensive, arguing that the country's supply troubles have been well known since November.
The focus on the South, specifically the port city of Melitopol, before moving to Berdyansk, has also been speculated as the likely route for some time, the second official noted.
National Security Council spokesman John Kirby confirmed Monday that the Defense Department was criminally investigating the file leak, including its origins and reliability.
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