Above-average hurricane activity is expected this season, according to a new report from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University.
"The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean is above-normal due to the forecast for an above-average season," the report reads, giving a 62 percent change of landfall, compared to 52 percent on average.
The project estimates 8 hurricanes and 11 named storms in the remainder of 2017, although "there remains considerable uncertainty surrounding this outlook." The report adds that "Everyone should realize that it is impossible to precisely predict this season’s hurricane activity in early August."
"Forecasters predict a 70 percent likelihood of 11 to 17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which five to nine could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including two to four major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)," according to the most recent report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
"As a Florida resident, I am particularly proud of the important work NOAA does in weather forecasting and hurricane prediction," Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross said in the NOAA release. "These forecasts are important for both public safety and business planning, and are a crucial function of the federal government."
Before August 1, five named storms formed, "slightly above normal," according to David Dilley, senior meteorologist and climatologist for Global Weather Oscillations, speaking with The New York Post.
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