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Tags: biden | job approval | poll | underwater
OPINION

Biden's Poll Numbers Underwater

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(Djbobus/Dreamstime.com)

Mark Schulte By Wednesday, 24 January 2024 12:01 PM EST Current | Bio | Archive

A Jan. 21 Civiqs poll reveals that President Joe Biden's job approval among registered voters is underwater in an astounding 47 states.

President Biden's favorable/unfavorable ratio is only positive in Hawaii, 49% to 39%. In both Massachusetts and Maryland, it is a statistical tie at 45% to 44%.

Furthermore, Biden's current favorable/unfavorable ratios in five populous states, which he narrowly won in 2020, are awful. In Arizona, with 11 electoral votes in 2024, he is at 30% to 62%; Georgia (16 electoral votes), 32% to 58%; and Michigan (15 electoral votes), 33% to 59%.

In Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), he is at 32% to 59%; and Wisconsin (10 electoral votes), 43% to 51%.

These crucial states in 2020 provided 73 electoral votes of Biden's winning total of 306, and they have 71 electoral votes this year.

Former President Donald Trump totaled 232 electoral votes in 2020, or 38 fewer than the magic 270.

Moreover, Biden has little chance of capturing any of 25 states Trump won in 2020, as their average favorable/unfavorable ratio on Jan. 21 is a horrendous 27% to 67%.

His least disastrous result among these states is North Carolina (16 electoral votes, one more than 2020), at 36% to 55%

And the reapportionment of electoral votes after the 2020 Census increased these 25 red states by three, bringing Trump's revised total in 2020 to 235 electoral votes.

Switching just Pennsylvania and Georgia in November would give him another 35 electoral votes, and the presidency at 270.

In his victory in 2016 over Hillary Clinton, Trump notched 30 states and 304 electoral votes.

In five other populous states that Joe Biden won in the last election, his current unfavorable/favorable ratios are also ominous.

In Illinois, "Submariner Joe" is at 40% to 50% (19 electoral votes, a decrease of 1); New Jersey, 40% to 51% (14 electoral votes); and Virginia, 36% to 54% (13 electoral votes).

In both Minnesota and Colorado (10 electoral votes each), Biden lags 38% to 51%.

Four years ago, Biden triumphed in Colorado 55% to 42%.

Very revealingly, while Biden's home state of Delaware has only 3 electoral votes, his favorable/unfavorable percentages are an abominable 35% to 54%.

Even in New York, with 28 electoral votes (one fewer than in 2020), Biden's favorable/unfavorable percentages are a precarious 42% to 49%.

Consequently, the 2024 presidential election is shaping up as a déjà vu of 1980, when the Republican challenger Ronald Reagan won in a landslide, amassing a humongous 489 electoral votes from 44 states.

Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Carter, the second worst president in American history after Biden, won only his home state of Georgia, with 12 electoral votes, and Hawaii, Maryland, Minnesota, Rhode Island and West Virginia and D.C., for a total of 49 electoral votes.

Furthermore, Carter was a healthy 56 years old in 1980, while Biden is increasingly seems challenged by the inherent demands of the U.S. presidency at 81 years old.

He is also facing impeachment by the House of Representatives, and his son Hunter Biden has just been indicted on nine federal income-tax charges.

Among registered voters in the Civiqs poll on Jan. 21, only 35% approved and 56% disapproved of President Biden's job performance.

The graph of his favorable/unfavorable ratio, during an uniquely catastrophic three-year presidency, starkly shows a trend line that has been horizontal since late October 2021, at 36% to 54%.

If this were Biden's electrocardiogram, the prognosis would be "incapable of resuscitation."

In short, a very conservative extrapolation of former President Trump's potential electoral votes this year is 305 from 32 states.

An optimistic projection for Trump is 380 electoral votes from 39 states. And a puny 158 electoral votes for Biden, from 11 states and D.C.

Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Reports — More Here.

© 2024 Newsmax. All rights reserved.


MarkSchulte
If this were Biden's electrocardiogram, the prognosis would be "incapable of resuscitation."
biden, job approval, poll, underwater
649
2024-01-24
Wednesday, 24 January 2024 12:01 PM
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