Donald Trump leads Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in a new daily tracking poll — fueled by voters who sat out the 2012 election and plan to show up in November, the Los Angeles Times reports.
In the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, the support breaks down like this as of Aug. 31:
- Trump: 45.3 percent
- Clinton: 41.9 percent
According to the Times, the results show the GOP nominee has a route to victory "albeit a difficult one."
"The existence of a bloc of disaffected voters large enough to potentially swing the election Trump's way is the main finding from an analysis of the first eight weeks of the daily tracking poll," which began in July and will continue until the election, David Lauter writes.
According to Lauter, the key group driving the result are voters who sat out the 2012 election but say they plan to vote this year, noting six in 10 of 2012 nonvoters are whites who didn't graduate from college.
As of Tuesday, Trump led by seven points among those who could have voted in 2012 but didn't.
Among whites without a college degree who didn't vote in 2012, Trump led Clinton by more than 2-1, the poll found.
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