Paul du Quenoy - Florida Man
Paul du Quenoy is President of the Palm Beach Freedom Institute. He holds a Ph.D. in History from Georgetown University.
Tags: marxist | neocon | regime
OPINION

In Venezuela, Trump Avoids Neocon Pitfalls

nation of the southern hemisphere oil and oil production and or storage

View of the refinery El Palito in Puerto Cabello, Carabobo state, Venezuela on January 11, 2026. Venezuela announced earlier this week that it is negotiating with the United States the "sale of volumes" of crude oil, moments after Donald Trump's administration said it would control the marketing of Venezuelan oil "indefinitely." (Photo by Maryorin Mendez / AFP via Getty Images)

Paul du Quenoy By Monday, 12 January 2026 10:30 AM EST Current | Bio | Archive

The world has changed for the better, with the ouster of Venezuela’s narcoterrorism leader Nicolás Maduro in a perfectly executed military operation incurring no American fatalities but delivered de facto control of the world's largest oil reserves to the United States – reserves worth $17.3 trillion even at current low market crude prices.

This was accomplished without a prolonged battle, without an occupation, without any real or prospective local resistance to the new reality on the ground, and without any palpable international opposition apart from the usual impotent whining from our weak adversaries, their even more powerless allies of necessity on the international left, and tiresome Democratic Party scolds.

In Caracas, Maduro's vice president Delcy Rodriguez is now in charge.

By background, she has been a hardline socialist who joined the Venezuelan revolutionary movement to avenge her father, a Marxist guerilla who died in prison.

The remaining Bolivarian leadership and state apparatus are similarly packed with hard- edged ideologues who allegedly moonlight on a mass scale as profiteers of the country's lucrative drug trade.

If they fail to cooperate with Washington, President Trump has issued direct statements that they could face fates worse than their deposed and incarcerated boss's, likely as the result of a much more expansive military operation that already appears to have been planned.

Having quickly agreed to surrender 30-50 million barrels of oil to the United States – enough to keep four million cars driving for a year – they may privately be hanging up their ideology while muttering silent prayers of thanks for their deliverance.

To stay on the right side of Trump, they will almost certainly institute any change Washington demands, likely including the restoration of American energy assets nationalized over the last half-century.

Will elections be held?

Trump and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio have said that they will be, and Venezuela's Constitution requires elections within 30 days if the president leaves office.

But no date has been set, and democracy is clearly not the main issue for the Trump administration.

Nor should it be.

Imposing "regime change," installing pro-American leaders, and engaging in democratic "nation building" in any country are, as history has cruelly taught us, fraught and uncertain processes with outcomes usually incurring significant expense in blood and treasure.

At worst, such interventions fail altogether, with any economic resources at stake eventually falling into adversarial hands and embattled radicals emerging as a renewed international threat.

Note the U.S.'s humiliating exclusion from both Iraq's oil fields and Afghanistan's mineral deposits, despite having liberated both of those countries from oppressive dictatorships and then fought long, hard, and futilely to prop up their corrupt and feckless successors while also trying to defeat the likes of ISIS.

As cooperative as Venezuela's new leaders appear to be, they do not seem to relish the prospect of being replaced, democratically or otherwise.

In all likelihood, either Rodriguez or any other regime candidate would lose to the exiled opposition leader Maria Corina Machado or any stand-in candidate Machado endorses.

This would repeat the near-certain actual results of Venezuela’s 2024 election, in which Maduro fraudulently claimed victory.

If the workings of Venezuelan domestic politics remain a Venezuelan matter, however, they will naturally be much less tainted by allegations of Yankee imperialism.

All we have to do is hold our noses at the noxious Marxist leftovers in Caracas while the oil flows.

Paul du Quenoy is President of the Palm Beach Freedom Institute. Read Paul du Quenoy's Reports — Click Here Now.

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PaulduQuenoy
Imposing "regime change," installing pro-American leaders, and engaging in democratic "nation building" in any country are, as history has cruelly taught us, fraught and uncertain processes with outcomes usually incurring significant expense in blood and treasure.
marxist, neocon, regime
583
2026-30-12
Monday, 12 January 2026 10:30 AM
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