The tenth seat, the one that will give the Republicans control of the Senate, is coming closer and closer. Three key developments:
1. Connecticut — State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal has been caught repeatedly fabricating a record of service in Vietnam. While he constantly claims to have fought, the fact is that he never went near the place. His candidacy is falling apart as a result.
While Linda McMahon won the Republican convention, her primary opponent Rob Simmons is much more likely to beat Blumenthal.
Simmons, who won two Bronze Star medals during his 18 months in Vietnam, worked for the CIA after his service as an operations officer in some of the key global trouble spots.
He went on to serve as a staffer on the Intelligence Committee in Congress and then to serve for six years in the House. He can win this seat. Donate here.
2. Wisconsin — Ron Johnson, an independent, successful businessman with great access to funding, won the Republican nomination to run against Russ Feingold. A true conservative, Ron has an excellent chance to win.
Feingold, who is way too liberal even for Wisconsin, is under 50 percent in the polls and Johnson should move up quickly. This race could be the key to getting 51 seats.Donate here.
3. Washington — Dino Rossi, the strongest candidate against Sen. Patty Murray may enter the race soon. He currently runs even with Murray in the polls. Stay tuned.
So those are our best shots for a 10th seat. Here's how the other nine play out:
Delaware: No problem.
North Dakota: No problem.
Indiana: Should be no problem. Coats is far ahead of Ellsworth.
Illinois: Mark Kirk ahead thanks to scandal engulfing the Democratic candidate.
Arkansas: Blanche Lincoln will probably lose her runoff and Republican Congressman John Bozeman should defeat Lt. Gov John Halter.
Nevada: Harry Reid remains behind his opponents.
Pennsylvania: Joe Sestak will not be harder to beat than Specter was (conventional wisdom says he will be). He is too liberal and Pat Toomey should beat him.
Colorado: Former Lt. Gov. Jane Norton is ahead of the appointed incumbent Michael Bennet, but both face tough primaries. We should win the seat.
California = A virtual tie between Barbara Boxer and her likely GOP opponent. With Boxer far under 50%, we should win this seat.
But focus on Connecticut, Wisconsin, and Washington state. Nine seats do us no good.
Remember, you build a 10-story building from the top down.
© Dick Morris & Eileen McGann