Is the passage of the so-called healthcare reform really a huge political victory for President Barack Obama and the liberal Democrats? Or is it actually the beginning of their political obituary?
Underlying everything is the economy, the so-called recovery and the jobs issue. Simply stated: If the economy improves and there is legitimate private-sector job creation, Obama and the Democrats will improve their current abysmal popularity ratings. And if the economy actually exploded into a high-speed recovery, Obama can then get himself re-elected in 2012. He can be viewed as a successful president as opposed to a failed flop like Jimmy Carter.
But as of now, with the economy stagnant and the perception that we are floundering in an ongoing recession, this healthcare bill and all the dirty dealing that surrounded it only serves to accentuate the worst side of Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and Harry Reid.
Will the glow from Obama’s victory help the Democrats in November’s mid-term elections? Not much.
The anger on the right and in the middle among independents is huge and they plan on punishing Obama and the Democrats this fall. Look for a catastrophic defeat for Democrats in the House and Senate.
We may see a slight short-term uptick in Obama’s poll rating later this week after the White House signing ceremony. Plus, he won’t be out every day talking about healthcare instead of jobs and the economy. This mis-connection hurt him politically.
So getting back to the jobs issue, even if his big government solutions only hurt job creation, will help his poll ratings, too.
The so-called mainstream media is so in the tank for Obama that they will try to say that Obama has his mojo back and that he is in the pantheon along with FDR, JFK etc. This of course is all nonsense and hype.
Obama has had a terrible first year due to his own over-reaching and mis-interpretation of his election.
He has lost support, especially from fiscally conservative independents, that he may not ever be able to win back. But his leftist supporters who have felt let down over his first year finally have something to feel good about. They are crowing today.
Conclusion: 2010 will be a bad year for Democrats. 2012 is too far away to even begin to contemplate.
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