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7 Strategies After Super Tuesday: Who Can Still Win and Who Can't

7 Strategies After Super Tuesday: Who Can Still Win and Who Can't
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By    |   Wednesday, 02 March 2016 11:10 AM EST

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton each won seven states on Super Tuesday, securing their front-runner statuses as the most likely candidates to secure their respective party nominations.

But it's not over yet. Though Trump dominated on the Republican side, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio still survived to fight another day.

Gathered below are seven strategies each candidate is likely to follow after Super Tuesday.

Urgent: Do You Support Donald Trump for the GOP Nomination? Vote Here Now

1. Donald Trump — The real estate mogul from New York has won 10 of the 15 states that have voted thus far and racked up 316 of 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination. Trump appears to be on a clear path to that nomination, but he could be stopped by either a head-to-head race or a brokered convention. The first scenario is incredibly unlikely before Ohio and Florida vote on March 15, but could arise anytime thereafter. The second scenario is also possible if John Kasich wins his home state of Ohio, and Rubio wins Florida — both winner-take-all contests. If Trump cannot secure a majority of delegates — 1,237 — before the summer, he could face a brokered convention that would likely be unfavorable for his candidacy. Therefore, expect to see Trump focus his efforts on winning these two key states.

2. Ted Cruz — The senator from Texas has won four of the 15 states that have voted so far, winning 226 of the 1,237-delegate threshold. With that, he called on Rubio and the other Republican candidates to bow out of the race during his victory speech on Tuesday night. He argued that the only way to beat Trump is in a head-to-head race. FiveThirtyEight pointed out that Trump has won 34 percent of the cumulative vote across the first 15 states, which is far short of a majority, while Cruz has garnered 28 percent. If Cruz can gain just 7 percent more of the electorate — a decent possibility if other candidates start dropping out — he could clinch the nomination. 

3. Marco Rubio — Rubio has won only one state, Minnesota, and garnered 106 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination. After Super Tuesday, many pundits have said that the best Rubio can reasonably hope for is a brokered convention this summer. If no one can win a majority of delegates, 1,237, then Rubio may be able to win at the convention. International Business Times reported that Rubio "has attracted more endorsements from current officeholders than any of his rivals, showing strong support from the GOP establishment that will show up en masse for the convention." In order to get a brokered convention, Rubio likely has to win his home state of Florida, but he's currently losing to Trump in state polls.

Urgent: Who Should the GOP Nominate in 2016? Vote Here Now

4. John Kasich — After Tuesday's vote, the Ohio governor has not won any states, and has garnered 25 delegates. His most likely shot at winning the Republican nomination is through a brokered convention. If Kasich can win Ohio and Rubio wins Florida (both are winner-take-all contests) "that could lock up enough delegates against Trump to prevent him from winning a majority before the Republican convention and force a battle in Cleveland in July for the nomination," The Washington Post reported.

5. Ben Carson — The retired neurosurgeon has not won any states and has eight delegates. Carson does not have a clear path to the nomination.

6. Hillary Clinton — The former secretary of state leads rival Bernie Sanders by more than a 2-1 margin after the Super Tuesday vote. Moreover, "Clinton’s edge among black voters helped her crush Bernie Sanders in the South. In Alabama, for example, she was about 50 points ahead of Sanders with 84 percent of results in," The Hill reported. With that, Clinton is favored to win the nomination, barring a force majeure like an indictment.

7. Bernie Sanders — Sanders has won five states total and 408 delegates. After Super Tuesday, it is clear he is unlikely to win the Democratic nomination.

Vote Now: Which GOP Candidate Would You Support in 2016?

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TheWire
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton each won seven states on Super Tuesday, securing their front-runner statuses as the most likely candidates to secure their respective party nominations. But it's not over yet.
super tuesday, trump, cruz, rubio, strategies
687
2016-10-02
Wednesday, 02 March 2016 11:10 AM
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