Tags: Tea Party | tea party | midterms | House | Boehner | Republicans

WashPost: Tea Party Likely to Gain in House, Battle Boehner

Thursday, 30 October 2014 07:59 AM

Tea party conservatives are likely to grab at least a handful of seats in the House next week, causing new headaches for Speaker John Boehner.

The Washington Post estimates that six to eight lawmakers are set to take over districts from incumbent Republicans in deeply conservative regions, mainly in the South.

They are mostly contentious tea party members, such as Gary Palmer of Alabama and John Ratcliffe of Texas, who will probably clash with more moderate GOP leaders on several key issues.

The new conservatives in the House could mean that Boehner will find a growing tea party challenge to oust him as Speaker.

In Georgia, conservative Barry Loudermilk is expected to succeed Rep. Phil Gingrey and he has flatly stated that he will not back Boehner, while Jody Hice is set to take over from Rep. Paul Broun and has been openly critical of the Speaker, saying he wants “new leadership with backbone.”

Glenn Grothman, who will probably win the seat of retiring Rep. Tom Petri of Wisconsin, says he is “more conservative than John Boehner,” while tea party candidate David Brat shocked Washington by defeating more moderate former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia this past summer.

Overall, Republicans have targeted 16 districts that Obama narrowly carried in 2012, including seats held by Democratic Reps. Ami Bera and Scott Peters of California, Timothy Bishop and Daniel Maffei of New York, and Brad Schneider and William Enyart of Illinois, according to the Post.

The GOP has also set its sights on six seats held by Democrats in districts that Republicans have previously captured in presidential elections, including those held by Democratic Reps. John Barrow of Georgia and Nick Rahall of West Virginia.

Political pundits and GOP leaders are expecting Republicans to boost its 234-seat majority in the House by eight to 10 districts, while also probably taking control of the Senate, the newspaper noted.

"Republicans are going to gain seats — we just don’t know how many yet, even this close to Election Day," said Nathan Gonzales, deputy editor of the nonpartisan Rothenberg Political Report, which keeps tabs on congressional races. "Democrats might have a problem this cycle that money can’t fix."

The Washington Post’s Election Lab predicts, with a 99 percent degree of certainty, that the GOP will add eight seats, while Rothenberg and the nonpartisan Cook Political Report expect the party to gain up to 10 seats from Democrats.

On the other hand, Democrats who face the seemingly hopeless task of capturing at least 17 seats to win the House are ignoring the GOP doomsayers and are continuing to fight to the bitter end.

They are hoping to pick up open seats in Arkansas, Iowa, Maine and West Virginia, while also expecting victories over three GOP incumbents — Rep. Gary Miller of California, tea party conservative Rep. Steve Southerland of Florida, and Rep. Michael Grimm of New York, who’s facing a federal corruption probe, the Post reported.

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Tea party conservatives are likely to grab at least a handful of seats in the House next week, causing new headaches for Speaker John Boehner, reports The Washington Post.
tea party, midterms, House, Boehner, Republicans
Thursday, 30 October 2014 07:59 AM
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