More voters see the national economy as getting worse than better, a first for President Donald Trump's administration – while all of the top Democratic presidential candidates are leading the incumbent – according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll.
"As trade tensions with China dominate the headlines, confidence in the economy is slipping," Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow said. "The number of people who think the economy is getting worse rose by double digits since June. And roughly 4 in 10 voters blame the president's policies, saying they are hurting the economy, the highest level since Trump took office."
According to the poll:
- 37% say the economy is getting worse, up from 23% in June.
- 31% say it is getting better, down from 39% in June.
- 30% say it is staying the same, down from 37% in June.
The poll does note, however, 61% of voters say the economy is still excellent or good, the lowest since April 2018, while just 37% say it is not so good or poor.
In hypothetical matchups with the leading Democratic presidential primary contenders, President Trump is losing to all of them, according to the poll:
- Former Vice President Joe Biden gets 54% to just 38% for President Trump.
- Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., leads President Trump 53% to 39%.
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is ahead by 12 percentage points – 52% to 40%.
- Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., has a 11-point edge, 51% to 40%.
- South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg is up 9 points – 49% to 40%.
"In hypothetical matchups between President Trump and the top five Democratic presidential candidates, one key number is 40," Snow said. "It's the ceiling of support for Trump, no matter the candidate. It hovers close to his job approval rating, which has stayed in a tight range since being elected."
The most notable demographic is white women, where all of the top five Democrats lead President Trump by double digits, according to the poll.
Quinnipiac University Polling polled 1,422 registered voters Aug. 21-16, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
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