Tags: Barack Obama | Obama | approval | midterms

WaPo: 2014 Centers More on Obama's Ratings Than 2010

Monday, 06 October 2014 09:27 AM

The midterm elections next month will be more about the disapproval ratings of President Barack Obama than in 2010, The Washington Post reports.

The newspaper’s The Fix political column compares the Democratic plight this year to the 2010 midterms which were “a rebuke” of an unpopular Obama, and the 2006 election which was “a rebuke” of unpopular President George W. Bush.

“2014 is looking more and more like both of them,” said writer Aaron Blake. “But where 2014 starts to look more like 2006 is when you dig a little deeper and find that it's not just a motivated opposition; it's also about the president's depressed base of support.”

In a recent Gallup poll, 58 percent of registered voters said they will vote in November to oppose Obama rather than to support him. That is a similar figure to the 2006 and 2010 midterms when, in both cases, 57 percent said before the elections that they were voting to oppose the president.

“Where 2006 and 2014 are a little different, though, is in the president's base,” Blake writes. “In 2010, 45 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters said their votes would be in support of the president; in both 2006 and today, that number was below 40 percent for the president's party (39 percent in 2006 and 38 percent in 2014).”

Democrats gained six Senate seats and 31 House seats in 2006, while Republicans gained six Senate seats and 63 House seats in 2010, the Post reported.

By analyzing Gallup figures, Blake says that the reason 2014 is looking more like 2006 is not because of the motivated opposition,” but because of an unmotivated base of support.”

Blake added, “Obama at least had a little more of that in 2010; he doesn't have it as much today.  And that's arguably even more troubling for Democrats in 2014 than it was for Republicans in 2006, because Democrats' voter base is much more prone to drop off in midterm elections.”

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The midterm elections next month will be more about the disapproval ratings of President Barack Obama than in 2010, The Washington Post reports.
Obama, approval, midterms
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2014-27-06
Monday, 06 October 2014 09:27 AM
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