Tags: Polls | New Hampshire | Senate race | midterms | Democrats | GOP

Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen Locked in NH Senate Duel

Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen Locked in NH Senate Duel
Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate Scott Brown and U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire. (Brian Snyder/Reuters/Landov)

By    |   Friday, 24 October 2014 10:53 AM

With the midterm elections fast approaching, the fiery, often bitter New Hampshire race for the Senate between incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown is going down to the wire and, latest polls say, is much too close to call.

Shaheen, 67, the state's former governor and a first-term senator, is embroiled in a tight struggle with Brown, 55, a former senator from Massachusetts, and pundits are saying that the party that does the best job of turning out its voters at the polls on Nov. 4 is likely to take the seat.

An American Research Group poll puts Shaheen a single point ahead of Brown among likely voters, at 48-49 percent.

A UMass Lowell/7 News poll puts Shaheen 3 points up over Brown, at 49-46 percent, among likely voters, well within the margin of error of 4.5 percent, with Shaheen up 7 points, 48 to 41 percent, among registered voters.

The race has developed into a slugfest in contentious debates, with Shaheen hanging the "carpetbagger" label on Brown at every turn, and Brown slamming Shaheen for her close association with the increasingly unpopular President Barack Obama.

The UMass poll found that 60 percent of New Hampshire's likely voters are not satisfied with how Obama is doing his job and, on all major issues, he polls below 40 percent in satisfaction.

Joshua Dyck, co-director of the UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion, said, "Many of the fundamentals in this race suggest that under normal circumstances, Jeanne Shaheen, running as a well-liked incumbent would be winning.

"Scott Brown has been effectively able to pitch this race to voters as not about how much you might like Jeanne Shaheen, but about how much you dislike President Obama."

RealClearPolitics' average has Shaheen up 1.8 percent and rates the race as a toss-up, while CNN's most recent poll shows Shaheen up 2 percent over Brown among likely voters, at 49-47 percent. CNN had rated the race a dead heat, at 48-48, in early September.

The Huffington Post poll has Shaheen running ahead of Brown by nearly 3 points, at 48.1 percent to 45.5 percent.

In their most recent debate, Brown slammed Shaheen over Obama's actions involving the Islamic State (ISIS), saying, "ISIS is the size of New England right now, and you and the president have taken ground troops off the table. Taking the greatest fighting force off the table is not what I would have done."

He also claimed that if Mitt Romney were president, the deadly Ebola plague would not be an American problem. "I feel he would have had a clear and concise plan. He would have reassured the American people," the Huffington Post reported.

"I was asking questions about ISIS before my opponent ever moved to New Hampshire," Shaheen countered, accusing Brown of "fear mongering" over Ebola, while Brown responded, "She calls it fear mongering. I call it rational fear."

Dyck said, “Scott Brown’s biggest liability is that New Hampshire voters are still skeptical of his New Hampshire authenticity. Forty-three percent of likely voters say that he knows enough to represent New Hampshire in the Senate, while 51 percent say that he does not."

Frank Talty, co-director of the Center for Public Opinion, said, "The wild card will be in candidates’ ability to turn out the vote. The campaign with the stronger field organization can make all the difference in a race as close as this."

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The fiery, often bitter New Hampshire race for the Senate between incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown is going down to the wire and, latest polls say, is much too close to call.
New Hampshire, Senate race, midterms, Democrats, GOP
568
2014-53-24
Friday, 24 October 2014 10:53 AM
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