Tags: New Hampshire | Senate | Brown | Shaheen | statistical | tie

Poll: Brown, Shaheen in Statistical Tie for New Hampshire Senate

Poll: Brown, Shaheen in Statistical Tie for New Hampshire Senate
Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Scott Brown, left, and incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat. (Brian Snyder/Reuters/Landov; Darren McCollester/Getty Images)

By    |   Thursday, 09 October 2014 09:17 AM

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen holds a small lead over Republican challenger Scott Brown, according to the latest New England College Poll.

For the second straight week, Shaheen and Brown are in a statistical dead heat with the incumbent Democrat maintaining a small 48.5 percent to 45.9 percent lead over the former Massachusetts senator. The poll's results are within its 2.7 percent margin of error.

In the poll, 3.2 percent of likely voters said they prefer another candidate and 2.3 percent are unsure. The New England College Poll was conducted on Oct. 3.

While Brown has gained ground, the crucial independent vote is leaning Democratic, says Dr. Wayne Lesperance, political science professor at New England College.

"Importantly, unenrolled or independent voters are leaning towards the Democrats. It is difficult to imagine Republican successes without attracting more independent voters," he said.

In the latest WMUR/Granite State Poll, Shaheen holds a 47-41 percent lead over Brown among likely voters, an increase over her 46-44 percent advantage in the poll's August survey. However, among the sample of 532 likely voters, her lead is within the margin of error, reports WMUR.

The WMUR poll was taken from Sept. 29 to Oct. 5, and shows that 43 percent remain undecided, while 47 percent said they had definitely made up their minds.

"Shaheen's numbers at 47-48 percent are close to a ceiling for her," said Andy Smith of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. "She is really going to have to work hard to make Scott Brown as unpopular as she possibly can over the next month."

In addition to closing the gap in the polls, Scott Brown moved ahead in the latest fundraising figures, reports the New Hampshire Journal.

A Brown adviser tells the Journal that the campaign raised $3.6 million from July 1 through Sept. 30, which is reportedly $100,000 more than Shaheen.

Shortly after the Brown fundraising disclosure, Shaheen's campaign announced it raised $3.5 million in the third quarter. In total, she has raised $13 million, more than double Brown's total of $6 million.

But a Brown campaign adviser said the latest fundraising haul "is the latest indicator of Scott Brown’s growing momentum and the strength of Scott Brown’s campaign. It is clear his message is continuing to resonate as he contrasts his message of being an independent voice for New Hampshire versus Senator Shaheen’s record voting 99 percent of the time with President Obama. People in New Hampshire know that a vote for Senator Shaheen is a vote for the continuation of the Obama agenda."

The first debate, which was held after both polls were conducted, had the candidates hitting on issues that played to their core constituencies, reports The Boston Globe.

Shaheen criticized Brown's record on abortion and asserted he lacked trustworthiness, while Brown stressed issues related to foreign policy, including the Obama administration's handling of the Islamic State (ISIS).

With the closeness of the race, both campaigns are bringing big names to the state, reports The Boston Herald.

Hillary Clinton will campaign with Shaheen, while former presidential candidate Mitt Romney will hit the trail on behalf of Brown.

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Sen. Jeanne Shaheen holds a small lead over Republican challenger Scott Brown, according to the latest New England College Poll.
New Hampshire, Senate, Brown, Shaheen, statistical, tie, election
Thursday, 09 October 2014 09:17 AM
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