Tags: Midterms | Senate | control

Shades of 2000? Senate Midterms May Not Be Decided on Nov. 4

By    |   Wednesday, 22 October 2014 02:47 PM

One data-mining source has taken a look at the Nov. 4 Senate midterms and says there's a strong possibility the results could resemble the maddening 2000 election night that saw a contest so tight, no winner could be named.

Harry Enten, writing on the FiveThirtyEight website, says there is a 47 percent chance that some closer-than-close midterm Senate races may take a while before candidates claim victory.

Enten notes that GOP candidates are favored by 66 percent to take over the Senate. But, he said, his data shows that "there’s a good chance we won’t know who controls the next Senate when the sun rises on Nov. 5."

Wrote Enten, citing the website's "regulation time" calculations: "With a possible runoff in Georgia, a probable runoff in Louisiana and the specter of Independent Greg Orman in Kansas taking his sweet old time deciding whom to caucus with — not to mention potential recounts — the 2014 midterms may remain unresolved until you’re shopping for Christmas presents (or even making New Year’s resolutions)."

As more forecasters predict the Senate will be returned to Republican control, GOP leaders are plotting changes, including shutting down Democrat spending.

“We’re going to pass spending bills, and they’re going to have a lot of restrictions on the activities of the bureaucracy,” Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell noted in an interview with Politico. “That will be done. I guarantee it.”

Democrats, however, are not counting themselves out just yet. Noted the Washington Post in tracing a strategic roadmap to their possible victory: "Democrats do still have paths to retaining control. But they are increasingly narrow."

A New York Times forecast model seems to dovetail with the Five Thirty Eight predictions, giving the GOP a 67 percent chance of a Senate takeover.

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One data-mining source has taken a look at the Nov. 4 Senate midterms and says there's a strong possibility the results could resemble the maddening 2000 election night that saw a contest so tight, no winner could be named.
Midterms, Senate, control
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2014-47-22
Wednesday, 22 October 2014 02:47 PM
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