Tags: America's Forum | Matt Towery | pollster | Charlie Crist | Thom Tillis

Matt Towery Sees a Trend Toward Charlie Crist, Thom Tillis

By    |   Thursday, 30 October 2014 02:21 PM

As the campaigns for the midterm elections come to a head, pollster Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantageGeorgia offers Newsmax a breakdown of how several hotly contested races are likely to turn out.

In Florida, Towery told J.D. Hayworth and Miranda Khan on "America's Forum" on Newsmax TV Thursday that "the race has begun . . . to trend towards [former Gov. Charlie] Crist, actually at the end of last week."

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At a debate between Crist and Gov. Rick Scott on Oct. 15, there was a controversy because Crist "had a fan underneath [his podium] and that was apparently against the rules of the debate."

Scott was told to stay "off the stage until the matter was resolved," but "it came across to the audience as if Scott was being persnickety and silly and ever since then we've seen this race begin to move a little more towards Charlie Crist."

In North Carolina, Towery says that Republican Rep. Thom Tillis of the North Carolina House of Representatives, who is running for Senate against Sen. Kay Hagan "is beginning to trend up a little bit in the polls."

However, he says that Republicans need "to turnout in huge numbers on actual Election Day" as Democrats seems to be fairing better with early voting "or some of these races we thought were going to go Republican can end up in the hands of Democrats like Kay Hagan who seems to always dodge the bullet."

As for Georgia, the Senate race between Republican David Perdue and Democrat Michelle Nunn "is a dead heat."

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He said that right now both candidates have "around 46 percent," according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls. Because that race has a Libertarian candidate, Perdue and Nunn are less likely to get the needed 50 percent plus-one votes needed to avoid a runoff, but he predicts that "Perdue would defeat Nunn," if it comes to that.

As for now, Towery says that "the latest polling does show Perdue ahead, and if in fact that trend were to really balloon over the weekend, there is a possibility that the Election Day vote could carry him through and he could actually win the race outright."

The Louisiana Senate race between Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu, Republican Reps. Bill Cassidy and Rob Maness may be headed for a runoff as well, the conservative pollster explains.

"Cassidy has run a very strong race," he told Newsmax. "He has a substantial lead that is just not strong enough to keep there from being a runoff."

However, he contends that the Democratic incumbent will likely lose a runoff.

"Landrieu has really, really been hurt by President Obama so it would take a miracle in a runoff for Cassidy to not defeat Landrieu," he said.

Towery predicts that come Election Day "some states [may] break for the Republicans that we didn't expect, some break Democrat that we didn't expect, and we're not to the golden 51 seats that we need for the Republicans to control the Senate."

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As the campaigns for the midterm elections come to a head, pollster Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantageGeorgia offers Newsmax a breakdown of how several hotly contested races are likely to turn out.
Matt Towery, pollster, Charlie Crist, Thom Tillis
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2014-21-30
Thursday, 30 October 2014 02:21 PM
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