Tags: | Kansas | Senate | Roberts | Orman

Kansas: Roberts Riding GOP Tide, Orman Banks on Independents

By    |   Thursday, 09 Oct 2014 01:28 PM

Republican voters appear to have coalesced behind Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts, giving him a one point lead over Independent candidate Greg Orman, according to the latest CNN/ORC poll.

Among likely voters, Roberts leads Orman 49 percent to 48 percent and is a reversal of fortune for Roberts, who has trailed in polls since September when Democratic candidate Chad Taylor was taken off the ballot.

Orman is supported by 62 percent of independents, compared with 33 of independents who support Roberts.

The variance in recent polls is a signal of the uncertainty of a race in which a significant portion of the electorate remain undecided. The CNN/ORC poll found 12 percent of voters remain uncommitted.

Roberts enjoys a wider 44-39 lead in a Fox News poll of likely voters taken October 4-7.

Although the margin remains slim in both surveys, The New York Times' Nate Cohn says the two polls "suggest that the state’s undecided, but predominantly Republican-leaning, voters are likely to break his (Roberts') way."

One key to the race will be getting voters to the polls on Election Day, says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

"Turnout is likely to be key — the higher the number of Republicans who vote, the better for Roberts, and Republicans have been at least 43 percent of the vote (and usually higher) in Kansas elections since 2000," Holland observed.

Given Roberts' tenuous position, outside groups are preparing to dedicate substantial funds in the final month to the incumbent senator's cause, reports Crain's Chicago Business.

For instance, TD Ameritrade founder Joe Ricketts' political action committee, the Ending Spending Action Fund, plans to put $1 million behind advertisements on cable and network television, and radio, according to Crain's.

Americans for Prosperity, which is funded by Charles and David Koch, will increase its spending before Election Day, as will another Koch-affiliated group, Freedom Partners, reports CNN.

Koch Industries is based in Kansas and the Koch brothers have already spent nearly $1 million in television ads to help defeat businessman Orman.

Unlike the Kochs and Ricketts, who have acknowledged their investment in the race, a new PAC has started running ads supporting Orman, reports Bloomberg.

According to Bloomberg, the Committee to Elect an Independent Senate has spent $17,440 to air 50 spots on Topeka's NBC affiliate, but it has yet to disclose its donors to the Federal Election Commission.

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Republican voters appear to have coalesced behind Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts, giving him a one point lead over Independent candidate Greg Orman, according to the latest CNN/ORC poll.
Kansas, Senate, Roberts, Orman
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2014-28-09
Thursday, 09 Oct 2014 01:28 PM
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