Tags: Early voting | Nevada | Ohio. midterm elections

NYT: Early Voting in Nevada, Ohio 'Looks Bad' for Dems

By    |   Tuesday, 21 October 2014 10:35 AM

Early voting figures in Nevada and Ohio are likely to give Democrats a reason to be nervous ahead of the midterm elections, The New York Times reports.

Voting started Monday in the Silver State and the numbers indicate that there has been a huge dropoff on the first day of voters compared to the midterms in 2010.

Only 10,000 voters cast their ballot in Clark County on Monday, which is 7,000 less than the number who voted on the first day of early voting in 2010.

The reason that it "looks bad" for Democrats is that they have a 13-point registration advantage over the GOP in Clark County, which includes the gambling mecca of Las Vegas, according to the Times.

Republicans and Democrats voted in almost equal numbers in 2010, showing that there has not been the improved voter turnout that Democrats would have been hoping for.

Early voting statistics often signify how the overall turnout might be in each race, and that’s why it’s important to both parties, the Times noted, adding that the early voting numbers also look bad for Democrats in Ohio.

There is, however, no Senate race in either Nevada or Ohio, while the GOP governors in both states are expected to have easy victories.

"So why am I bringing up the gloomy numbers for Democrats in irrelevant contests for them?" writes Nate Cohen in the Times’ The Upshot section. "Because they highlight the challenge of interpreting early voting data elsewhere."

While noting that Democrats have hyped the fact they have signed up supporters who didn’t participate in 2010, Cohen said, "The conventional wisdom is that Democrats need to outdo their mobilization efforts of four years ago, when they lost competitive contests in Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Illinois."

Cohen said that "if that’s right, then Democrats don’t just need voters who didn’t participate in 2010, they need people who wouldn’t have participated" in non-competitive races.

He continued: "The Nevada and Ohio numbers help clarify this analytical conundrum because the two states are the opposite of this year’s contests. Nevada and Ohio were two of the most high-profile contests of 2010.

"Mostly because these states are now non-competitive, early voting has plummeted. The big drop-offs highlight that, even in 2010, Democrats were mobilizing large numbers of voters who wouldn’t have participated in a less competitive contest."

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Early voting figures in Nevada and Ohio are likely to give Democrats a reason to be nervous ahead of the midterm elections, The New York Times reports.
Early voting, Nevada, Ohio. midterm elections
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2014-35-21
Tuesday, 21 October 2014 10:35 AM
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