Tags: GOP2016 | Jeb Bush | Scott Walker | scott walker | iowa | jeb bush | new hampshire

Politico: Walker to Win in Iowa, Bush Takes New Hampshire

Politico: Walker to Win in Iowa, Bush Takes New Hampshire
(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images; Joe Readle/Getty Images)

By    |   Friday, 10 July 2015 09:13 AM

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the overwhelming favorite to win the Iowa caucuses if they were held tomorrow, according to political insiders in the Hawkeye State.

A Politico survey of the most influential operatives and activists in Iowa and New Hampshire found that 82 percent believe he would prevail.

"Scott Walker is the runaway front-runner in Iowa," said one Iowa Republican, according to Politico. "The only news at this point would be if he didn't win the state."

The insiders pointed to Walker's political successes in Wisconsin. The 47-year-old has won three elections in four years, including a historic recall election in 2012. He also successfully took on labor unions while slashing the state's $3.6 billion deficit.

But while strategists touted his strengths among Iowans, 87 percent of New Hampshire insiders said he is not on track to win in the Granite State.

"Granite Staters don't vote for phantom candidates and Walker is barely an apparition on the ground in New Hampshire," said one insider, according to Politico.

"He would be competitive, but seems more focused on Iowa (which he should)," said a New Hampshire Democrat, according to Politico. "Bush remains in the best position to succeed in New Hampshire."

Some insiders say Walker's popularity could wane once his positions on key issues are examined. Forty percent of Republicans overall said Walker's biggest weakness is that he may be viewed as a flip-flopper on key social issues and immigration.

"Early state voters spot inauthenticity from a mile away and have seen firsthand Walker's inability to consistently articulate his views on immigration, renewable fuel standards, and even gay marriage and abortion," a New Hampshire Republican said. "Walker is quickly becoming the Romney 2008 of the cycle."

Another Iowa Republican said, "He's all over the place. He makes Mitt Romney look like an unwavering, steadfast conservative."

Others have questioned whether Walker is ready for the national stage.

"He has inexplicably fumbled multiple times on the campaign trail when answering questions," said a New Hampshire Republican, according to Politico. "Looking at the whole field, though, he has the most genuine middle-class feel of all the candidates."

On the question of his national standing, 82 percent of insiders put Walker in second place while 94 percent said Bush was in the lead.

Meanwhile, the survey also found that Walker has strong middle-class appeal.

"[He] projects an everyman, regular guy demeanor and seems to connect well with what middle class folks are feeling," a New Hampshire Republican told Politico. "He not only shops where they shop, he understands how they live, the pressures they face, the frustration they feel — he is relatable."

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Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the overwhelming favorite to win the Iowa caucuses if they were held tomorrow, according to political insiders in the Hawkeye State.
scott walker, iowa, jeb bush, new hampshire, caucuses, survey
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2015-13-10
Friday, 10 July 2015 09:13 AM
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