Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton can expect greater voter turnout than previously thought, according to a new
Rasmussen Reports poll.
The number of likely voters who refuse to commit to either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton fell:
- April: 24 percent;
- July: 15 percent.
According to the recent poll, more likely voters plan on casting a ballot for Clinton than Trump:
- Clinton: 44 percent;
- Trump: 41 percent;
- April: 38 percent each.
The number of those voting for a third-party candidate decreased since the Spring:
- April: 16 percent;
- July: 10 percent;
- Not Voting: 2 percent.
More Republicans than Democrats plan on switching to a third-party candidate, but members of both parties are warming to their nominees:
- Republicans in April: 21 percent;
- Democrats in April: 14 percent;
- Republicans in July: 11 percent;
- Democrats in July: 7 percent.
More independents have swung red or blue in the past three months, as support for third-party candidates among unaffiliated voters fell:
- April: 31 percent
- July: 21 percent
Clinton and Trump received about 30 million votes in the primaries, out of 60 million ballots cast.
There are about 226 million eligible voters in the United States, meaning 191 million eligible voters are potentially up for grabs, according to
Pew Research and
The New York Times.
According to Rasmussen, the survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 28 and 31, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence.
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