S&P 500 Notches Record High on Fed Rate Cut Bets

Traders Robert Charmak, left, Thomas Lee, right, and Ben Tuchman, background left, work with specialist James Denaro on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Sept. 5, 2025. (Richard Drew/AP)

Tuesday, 09 September 2025 04:09 PM EDT ET

The S&P 500 notched a record high close Tuesday, while UnitedHealth rallied and a downward payrolls revision supported expectations the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates to shore up economic growth.

The U.S. economy likely created 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March than previously estimated, the government said, suggesting that job growth was already stalling before President Donald Trump launched his global tariffs.

Financial markets have priced in a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's policy meeting next week, and futures trading suggests a nearly 10% chance of a 50 basis point cut, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Recent nonfarm payroll data for July and August also pointed to weakening labor market conditions.

"This does nothing to dissuade the Fed from moving 25 basis points," said Paul Nolte, a market strategist at Murphy & Sylvest in Chicago, about the payrolls revision. "We don't know month by month and won't for a few more months yet, but it points out that labor is weak."

UnitedHealth jumped after it said it expects enrollment in top-rated Medicare insurance plans to be in line with its expectations, which could mean bigger payments from the government to the health insurer.

JPMorgan Chase rose after a senior executive said investment banking revenue will grow in the low double digits for the third quarter and that markets revenue would grow in the high teens percentage rate for the third quarter.

"That's all good news, signs of a good, thriving economy. M&A is coming back after Trump's Liberation Day put a screeching halt to that," said Jed Ellerbroek, a portfolio manager at Argent Capital, referring to U.S. tariffs announced in April.

Unofficially, the S&P 500 climbed 0.27% to end the session at 6,512.66 points.

The Nasdaq gained 0.37% to 21,879.49 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.43% to 45,711.56 points. The S&P 500 energy index rallied after Israel attacked Hamas leaders in Qatar's capital city, Doha. Shares of Apple fell after the company unveiled new iPhones that failed to excite investors.

Broadcom dipped after the world's second most valuable chipmaker gained in the five previous sessions.

Investors will focus on a producer inflation report on Wednesday and consumer prices data on Thursday to gauge the impact of Trump's tariff policies, and whether a case could be made for more aggressive interest rate cuts.

Nebius soared after the AI infrastructure firm signed a $17.4 billion deal with Microsoft. Rival CoreWeave also rose.

Class B shares of Fox Corp and News Corp dipped. Rupert Murdoch and his children reached an agreement that will give the eldest son, Lachlan Murdoch, control over the media empire.

Albemarle plunged due to easing supply concerns as Chinese battery company CATL is expected to resume production at a lithium mine.

Oracle climbed ahead of its quarterly report after the bell, with investors looking for a reading of AI demand across the technology sector.

© 2026 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
The S&P 500 notched a record high close Tuesday, while UnitedHealth rallied and a downward payrolls revision supported expectations the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates to shore up economic growth.
stocks, united health, fed, rate, cut, payroll, revision
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2025-09-09
Tuesday, 09 September 2025 04:09 PM
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