Barack Obama received 9.5 million more votes than Republican John McCain in the 2008 presidential election, but there’s no way that will happen this time around, Karl Rove writes in
The Wall Street Journal.
In Wednesday’s opinion piece, the former Bush adviser pointed out that Republicans who stayed home in 2008 are much more fired up about going to the polls this November.
“According to exit polls, 44.8 million Republicans showed up to vote in 2004 while only 41.4 million did in 2008. Almost all those 3.4 million Republicans who stayed home have been energized by Mr. Obama's agenda and are now eager to vote against him,” Rove said.
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In 2008, about 9 percent of Republicans voted for Obama, according to exit polls. This year, Obama cannot count on the same level of support from GOP or independent voters, Rove said.
He also said that Obama’s support is slipping among middle-class voters, and he may have trouble getting black, Latino and young voters to get out and vote.
But, Rove said, while the number of Obama enthusiasts is shrinking, GOP candidate Mitt Romney “isn’t home free.”
“To win 270 Electoral College votes, he will have to keep Republicans energized, increase his support among independents, seniors and the middle class and make inroads among Hispanics and young voters,” Rove wrote. “To do that, he will need to do much more than criticize Mr. Obama’s many failures.”
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