A loss at the Supreme Court on Obamacare could turn into a win at the ballot box in November. Should the Supreme Court uphold the law, the GOP has an issue to galvanize voters, should the law be struck down, the Democrats pick up an issue,
The Washington Post’s political blog The Fix reports.
The Supreme Court hears arguments next week on the controversial health care measure that rallied Republicans in the 2010 elections. While Obama would like the law to survive and opponents hope it will be struck down, the court’s decision will reverberate in the elections.
“In a perverse way, Obama is helped if it is overturned, because then he can use it to rally his base,” GOP pollster Glen Bolger told the Post. “If it is not overturned, then Republicans have a frying pan to bash over the Democrats’ head.”
The Fix noted, “Republicans already hate the law, and if it gets struck down, there’s nothing to unite against. Obama may pay a price from his political capital for enacting a law that is eventually declared unconstitutional, but all of a sudden, the bogeyman disappears, and the GOP loses one of its top rallying cries.
“The Democratic base, meanwhile, would be incensed at the Supreme Court, which has generally tilted 5-to-4 in favor of conservatives on contentious issues, and could redouble its efforts to reelect Obama so that he could fill whatever Supreme Court vacancies may arise.”
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