The most recent polls indicate Mitt Romney has a strong chance to wrest the White House from President Barack Obama, says ace Republican strategist Karl Rove.
The opening statements of the first presidential debate and the closing statements of the final debate are what put Romney in this position, he writes in
The Wall Street Journal.
The average of the last 10 major polls compiled by Real Clear Politics shows Romney leading 47.7 percent to 47.1 percent. Just before the first debate, Obama led 49.1 to 46 percent.
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More importantly, in the past week's 40 national surveys, Romney’s support registered at or above 50 percent in 11 polls, while Obama scored that high in only one, Rove says.
That’s especially good news for Romney because “an incumbent president's final number in opinion polls is often his Election Day share of his vote, and undecided voters generally swing the challenger's way,” Rove writes.
The race will likely be decided by a few states — Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and most important, Ohio, Rove says.
“So if Mr. Obama goes into Nov. 6 below 50 percent in these states — as he now is in almost every one — he is likely to lose them and his chance at a second term.”
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