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Tags: Saut | stocks | gap | panic

Raymond James' Saut: 'It's Too Late to Panic on Stocks'

By    |   Thursday, 15 January 2015 01:14 PM EST

A sharp correction may be in store for stocks, but now isn't the time to take money off the table, says Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist for Raymond James.

"It is too late to panic," he writes in a commentary. "The time to raise cash was a month ago, not now. Now it is time to make your shopping list, looking for the opportunity to selectively redeploy that cash into preferred equities."

The S&P 500 index has slid 2.9 percent so far this year.

Saut remains bullish on stocks long-term, despite concern that the market is oversold now. He cites Jim Rogers as a model for trading strategy.

"When asked how he made all his money, Jim Rogers answered, 'I sell euphoria and buy panic,'" Saut writes. "The way he determines that is to wait until prices are gapping in the charts. Gapping on the upside is considered euphoria, while gapping on the downside is representative of panic."

Right now oil and stocks are gapping down, while Treasurys are gapping up, Saut notes, adding that stocks are in a secular bull market.

Saut advises that "various stocks will make their lows at different times, so pick your spots carefully. Tactically, at least on a very short-term trading basis, many of my indicators are becoming oversold and it would not surprise me to see another bounce attempt off of some kind of low on Thursday. Unfortunately, I do not think any rally attempt sticks and we will subsequently go lower."

Meanwhile, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, warns that investors around the world are making assumptions about markets and economies that may be overly optimistic.

"I am taken aback by the extent to which the world has collectively placed a huge bet on three fundamental outcomes: a shift toward materially higher and more inclusive global growth, the avoidance of policy mistakes and the prevention of market accidents," he writes in an article for Project Syndicate.

"Though all three outcomes are undoubtedly desirable, the unfortunate reality is that they are far from certain, and bets on them without some hedging could prove exceedingly risky for current and future generations."

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Finance
A sharp correction may be in store for stocks, but now isn't the time to take money off the table, says Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist for Raymond James.
Saut, stocks, gap, panic
360
2015-14-15
Thursday, 15 January 2015 01:14 PM
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