Tags: consumer | stocks | retail | sales

3 Ways to Profit from the Stressed-Out American Consumer

3 Ways to Profit from the Stressed-Out American Consumer

Americans are taking on too much debt, limiting their ability to spend. (Photo: Dreamstime)

By    |   Tuesday, 30 August 2016 09:41 AM

Retail sales are a pretty good proxy for consumer spending. So to me, any nationwide drop in retail sales is a warning flag about our consumption-based economy.

The Wall Street crowd was pretty surprised when the Commerce Department reported that Americans pulled back on spending in July. Retail sales numbers for July came in at a disappointing 0 percent. That was well below the 0.4 percent Wall Street had expected.

Even that 0 percent number is misleading. After backing out auto sales, retail sales actually declined by 0.3 percent in July.

Don’t forget, this consumer-spending slowdown is happening against a backdrop of much lower gas prices and (supposedly) an improving job market. So what’s the problem?

Americans are taking on too much debt

Maxed Out on Debt

For households with all four types of debt, that’s a combined average of $263,259. That translates into an average of $6,658 a year in interest payments! That’s especially hard when you think about the median household income, which is $75,591.

That means American households are spending 9 percent of their gross income just on interest payments alone.

That debt translates into big-time financial stress. In fact, 14 percent of Americans have more debts than assets, which puts their net worth in negative territory.

People are piling up huge amounts of new debt in two areas: auto and student loans.

Outstanding car loans and student loans have climbed to $1.1 trillion and $1.4 trillion, respectively. And both are record highs.

Here’s how to profit from the current trend in debt growth

Those debt-growth numbers are troubling.

But, there’s a silver lining for investors. Here are three areas to invest in right now:

Lenders: The flipside of that explosive debt growth is to be a lender. Nobody likes to make loan payments, but I don’t know anybody who doesn’t like to receive them. Companies that are doing a lot of the lending are:

  • SLM Corp. (SLM) also known as Sallie Mae
  • Santander Consumer USA Holdings (SC), one of the largest auto lenders in the U.S.
  • Capital One Financial Corp. (COF), one of the largest credit card issuers in the U.S.

Discount Retailers: Cash-strapped consumers may not be spending as much as they used to… but when they do, they spend their dollars where they get the most bang for their bucks. I’m talking about discount retailers like:

  • Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT)
  • Dollar General Corp. (DG)
  • Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST)

Debt Collection: Debt collectors may rank up there with used-car salesmen and IRS agents, but the business of debt collection is very lucrative. There are three publicly traded companies that get the bulk of their revenue from debt collection:

  • Asta Funding (ASFI)
  • Encore Capital Group (ECPG)
  • Portfolio Recovery Associates (PRAA)

I’m not saying to rush out and buy any of these stocks tomorrow morning. As always, timing is everything. But, the companies listed above should prosper from financially stressed-out consumers.

Tony Sagami has worked in almost every part of the financial services industry, including a stint as a life insurance salesman for Prudential; a stockbroker at Merrill Lynch; and a portfolio manager at The Donohue Group. Later he switched to publishing and eventually became one of the most widely read market writers of the last generation. Click HERE to learn how Tony uncovers the real story behind the week’s market news. To read more of his articles, GO HERE NOW.

 

 

© 2019 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.

   
1Like our page
2Share
TonySagami
Retail sales are a pretty good proxy for consumer spending. So to me, any nationwide drop in retail sales is a warning flag about our consumption-based economy.
consumer, stocks, retail, sales
565
2016-41-30
Tuesday, 30 August 2016 09:41 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.
 

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved