Tags: stocks | powell | fed | rate | cut

Dow Falls 200 as Powell Erodes Hopes for Dec Rate Cut

Dow Falls 200 as Powell Erodes Hopes for Dec Rate Cut
Trader Robert Charmak works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Nov. 8, 2024. (Richard Drew/AP)

Thursday, 14 November 2024 04:08 PM EST

Wall Street's main indexes closed lower Thursday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dampened investor hopes for another interest rate cut this year by saying the U.S. central bank need not rush to ease monetary policy.

Powell said at a Dallas Fed event that with the economy still growing, the job market solid and inflation still above the 2% target, the Fed can deliberate carefully on rate cuts.

While traders were still betting on a 25-basis point reduction at the Fed's December meeting, the probability sank to 55.5% from 76% earlier in the afternoon and from 82.5% on Wednesday, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

"The comments from Powell put more cold water on what used to be a very optimistic outlook on the path for rate cuts," said Adam Hetts, global head of Multi-Asset at Janus Henderson Investors.

"However, we can't take for granted that inflation and labor are in balance so this is an encouraging message on the economy."

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 36.23 points, or 0.61%, to end at 5,949.15 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 123.07 points, or 0.64%, to 19,107.65. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 206.14 points, or 0.47%, to 43,752.05.

Earlier on Thursday data showed the producer price index for final demand rose 0.2% on a monthly basis in October, in line with forecasts, though the annual rise of 2.4% was a touch higher than expectations.

Jobless claims dropped 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 217,000 for the week ended Nov. 9, lower than forecast.

"There's more and more evidence that inflation remains higher than the Fed's 2% target," said Melissa Brown, managing director for Investment Decision Research at SimCorp in New York. "The numbers were roughly in line with expectations but sometimes investors step back and say, 'What does this really mean?' It leads to more uncertainty about what the Fed does after the December meeting."

Last week's post-U.S. election rally has been waning this week as focus turned to the potential inflationary pressures from policies under President-elect Donald Trump's administration.

Among the S&P 500's 11 major industry sectors, industrials was the biggest decliner with big drags from defense companies, which had rallied sharply in the days after the election.

RTX Corp was the defense sector's biggest weight on Thursday, falling to its lowest level since Sept. 19 while General Dynamics was also a big drag, hitting its lowest level since Oct. 31.

The blue-chip Dow had some support from a rally in Walt Disney after the entertainment giant reported quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street's estimates and offered robust guidance for the coming years.

Consumer discretionary stocks also weighed on the S&P 500, with some pressure from electric vehicle makers.

Shares of electric vehicle maker Tesla and Rivian Automotive fell after Reuters reported that Trump's transition team is planning to kill the $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric-vehicle purchases as part of broader tax-reform legislation.

Some other Fed policymakers have shifted their attention back to inflation risks as they weighed in on when, and how fast and far, to cut interest rates.

Fed Governor Adriana Kugler said the central bank had made considerable progress toward achieving its job and inflation goals. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said high union wage settlements and the possibility of coming tariff increases could make Fed officials more cautious about thinking they have won their battle against high inflation.

Tapestry hit its highest level since 2013. The Coach parent said it was terminating its $8.5 billion deal for Capri Holdings after the deal was blocked by a U.S. judge. Capri's shares also rose.

© 2024 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
Wall Street's main indexes closed lower Thursday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dampened investor hopes for another interest rate cut this year by saying the U.S. central bank need not rush to ease monetary policy.
stocks, powell, fed, rate, cut
599
2024-08-14
Thursday, 14 November 2024 04:08 PM
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