The so-called “FANG portfolio” has grabbed a lot of attention in the past few weeks as the strong gains of four companies — Facebook, Amazon, NetFlix and Google — masked underlying weakness in the broader market.
But as every broker reminds investors in disclosure statements: Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Sven Carlin,
an investment manager writing in a Seeking Alpha blog, put together a “Sleep Well” portfolio of seven stocks that might not be high-flyers like the FANGs, but he estimates their stable fundamentals will support 3 percent annual gains for the next five years.
“The main argument behind the Sleep Well portfolio is that a portfolio with stable companies that have a wide moat, low debt levels and a valuation lower than
the S&P 500 average should outperform the index in the long term,” he writes. “I found seven stocks that have relatively low P/E ratios with stable or growing earnings.”
The portfolio of stocks has an average P/E ratio is 14 times while the dividend yield is 3.18 percent. Stock buybacks make up about 2 percent of the market value of these companies on average, according to Carlin’s analysis.
7-Stock Portfolio to Help You Sleep
- Gilead Sciences (GILD)
- Merck & Co. (MRK)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ),
- 3M Co. (MMM)
- Eaton Corp. (ETN)
- Wal-Mart Stores (WMT)
- Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
“The Sleep Well portfolio is for the patient accumulator of wealth while the FANG is for the one that is ready to risk a lot more and bet on the uncertainties the future will bring,” he writes. “From a probabilities perspective I cannot say that either of the two portfolios is riskier than the other as both portfolios have its pro and cons but the required 50% growth rate necessary for a positive return with the FANG stocks is easily questionable, with the exception of Google.”
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