Tags: stocks | bonds | interest rates

Stocks Diverge at Start of Key Week for Rate Calls

Stocks Diverge at Start of Key Week for Rate Calls
(AP)

Monday, 11 December 2023 10:00 AM EST

Stock markets diverged Monday ahead of a busy week for interest rate decisions from major central banks.

The U.S. Federal Reserve updates its policy on borrowing costs on Wednesday, followed by interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England on Thursday.

With all three expected to hold borrowing costs after hiking multiple times to combat high inflation, traders will be looking for clues in the banks' statements on when rate cutting is likely to start as the pace of price rises cool.

In equities trading on Monday, Tokyo closed higher as the yen tumbled against the dollar, boosting exporters.

Paris edged higher, not far from its record high in April, while the Dax rose to a whisker of the record intraday high it set on Friday before falling back.

London weakened, meanwhile. Wall Street opened mixed, with the Dow edging higher but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipping.

"With some key market-moving events on the near horizon, market participants will be forgiven for taking a non-committal line at this juncture," said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare.

"Still, no-one is jumping the line to force a downside break, so the price action itself continues to keep sellers at bay," he added.

The yen shed one percent versus the dollar on waning expectations that the Bank of Japan would tighten its ultra-loose monetary policy next week, before paring losses.

While many central banks have significantly hiked interest rates over the past couple of years in a bid to tame soaring prices, the BoJ has refused to shift from its long-term programme of sub-zero rates to kickstart the world's number three economy.

All eyes this week will be on clues regarding the outlook for borrowing costs in the United States and Europe.

"Central bank meetings of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England are likely to be crucial in managing expectations when it comes to the timing and pace of when markets can expect to see rate cuts begin," noted Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK.

A forecast-beating US jobs report on Friday -- and a pick-up in consumer sentiment -- tempered expectations for Fed interest rate cuts in the new year but were not enough to jolt confidence that decision makers have finished with their tightening cycle.

U.S. readings on consumer prices and retail sales are due this week, as is the Fed's meeting and boss Jerome Powell's statement, which will be parsed for indications of officials' plans.

All three main indices on Wall Street rose on Friday but Asian traders struggled to extend a broad rally on Monday, with sentiment jarred by figures showing China slipped further into deflation last month as leaders struggled to kickstart the stuttering economy.

Consumer prices fell at their steepest pace in three years, data showed, fuelling fresh calls for the government to unveil more economic support measures.

"China's deflation situation is deepening with the triple whammy from domestic food prices, international oil price corrections and weak domestic demand," said economists at Citigroup.

"There is no time for policy hesitation to prevent a vicious loop between deflation, confidence and activities."

© AFP 2025


StreetTalk
Stock markets diverged Monday ahead of a busy week for interest rate decisions from major central banks.
stocks, bonds, interest rates
524
2023-00-11
Monday, 11 December 2023 10:00 AM
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