Tags: price | extinction | event | north korea | war

It's Hard to Price an 'Extinction Event' Like a North Korea War

It's Hard to Price an 'Extinction Event' Like a North Korea War
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Thursday, 10 August 2017 01:54 PM EDT

Financial markets haven’t really reacted much to the escalation in tensions between the U.S. and North Korea, and some observers explain that it’s largely because in the worst-case scenario it’s impossible to guess the appropriate price for things like stocks and bonds.

"It’s hard to price a potentially extinction event (at least for much of the Korean peninsula)," is how Timothy Ash, a senior strategist at Bluebay Asset Management in London, puts it.

It’s a point also made by Mark Mobius, the Templeton Emerging Markets Group executive chairman and apostle for emerging-market investing.

He said in a May interview about the prospect of a North Korean nuclear conflict: "there’s nothing you can do about it -- if something breaks out, we’re all finished anyway.”

Maybe that’s why the worst day this year for the Kospi index of South Korean stocks was July 28, which was all about a global tech-stock retreat and nothing to do with geopolitics.

© Copyright 2026 Bloomberg News. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
Financial markets haven’t really reacted much to the escalation in tensions between the U.S. and North Korea, and some observers explain that it’s largely because in the worst-case scenario it’s impossible to guess the appropriate price for things like stocks and bonds.
price, extinction, event, north korea, war
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2017-54-10
Thursday, 10 August 2017 01:54 PM
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