Tags: Insana | deflation | risk | inflation

CNBC's Ron Insana: Deflation is the Real Risk, Not Inflation

By    |   Friday, 16 May 2014 03:04 PM EDT

Some financial commentators are worried that inflation is headed higher, especially after U.S. producer and consumer price increases accelerated in April.

Consumer prices rose 0.3 percent during the month, the most since last June.

Editor's Note: How to Become Warren Buffett for $1.97

But deflation is the real worry, says CNBC contributor Ron Insana. Sure, prices are increasing for food and energy, he writes on CNBC.com.

But that has "nothing to do with monetary policy," Insana says. "Indeed, if the Fed were to raise interest rates to quell this type of inflation, consumers would fare even worse as the cost of money would join the rising cost of supply-disrupted goods."

The yield curve is flattening around the world, he writes. And, "as history has frequently shown, flattening yield curves imply weakening economic growth and/or falling inflation."

And what about the stock market? "Stocks are getting nervous that the relentless drop in current global interest rates, interest rate forwards, and yield curves everywhere, are reigniting fears of deflation, not inflation," Insana says.

The European Central Bank looks ready to respond to this situation with more easing next month. And more central banks, including the Fed, may have to do the same, he writes.

Some analysts view the rise in U.S. April prices as a positive signal for the economy.

"Growth momentum in the second quarter looks reasonably solid," Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase, told Bloomberg News. "There is a little more inflation there than people are giving credit for."

Editor's Note: How to Become Warren Buffett for $1.97

Related Stories:

© 2025 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
Some financial commentators are worried that inflation is headed higher, especially after U.S. producer and consumer price increases accelerated in April.
Insana, deflation, risk, inflation
280
2014-04-16
Friday, 16 May 2014 03:04 PM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Get Newsmax Text Alerts
TOP

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved