Tags: gundlach | yield | curve | rates | inversion

Gundlach: Yield Curve Inversion 'Harder' With Rates So Low

Gundlach: Yield Curve Inversion 'Harder' With Rates So Low

Wednesday, 08 May 2019 09:32 AM EDT

Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer of DoubleLine Capital, said it’s going to get “harder and harder” to invert the U.S. yield curve at this level of interest rates.

“We might not get a real inversion because rates are so low,” Gundlach said Tuesday during a client event in New York.

An inverted yield curve is widely seen as an indicator that the economy is within a couple years of a recession. The premium of the 10-year Treasury yield over the three-month bill rate on Tuesday shrank to less than three basis points, after dipping in March into negative territory for the first time since 2007. Benchmark 10-year yields traded at roughly 2.45 percent on Tuesday.

Interest rates are likely to become more volatile and the chances of recession before next year’s presidential election are increasing as the national debt soars, Gundlach said Monday at a separate event. He recommended buying rate volatility on long-term U.S. Treasuries through a put-call straddle on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund, according to a presentation he gave at a hedge fund conference.

Los Angeles-based DoubleLine managed more than $130 billion as of March 31, mostly in fixed-income assets.

In other comments Tuesday, Gundlach:

  • Reiterated his concerns about the large amounts of corporate debt in the market
    • Asked about what catalyst would freeze the credit market, the money manager said “the corporate bond market will really have a problem when you see negative GDP.” Citing a quote by Warren Buffett about seeing who’s naked when the tide goes out, Gundlach said, “It’s kind of a nude beach out there.”
  • Again predicted a decline in the U.S. dollar
    • “If we didn’t have the luxury of being the reserve currency,” the greenback would be much weaker, he said.

© Copyright 2026 Bloomberg News. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer of DoubleLine Capital, said it's going to get "harder and harder" to invert the U.S. yield curve at this level of interest rates.
gundlach, yield, curve, rates, inversion
293
2019-32-08
Wednesday, 08 May 2019 09:32 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Get Newsmax Text Alerts
TOP

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved