Tags: goldman | fed | rate | hike

Goldman Reduces Expectations of September Fed Rate Hike

Goldman Reduces Expectations of September Fed Rate Hike

(iStock Photo)

Wednesday, 07 September 2016 11:02 AM EDT

Goldman Sachs has reduced its expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its September meeting, citing weaker-than-expected economic growth and the lack of clear signals from a senior Fed official.

Goldman now views the Fed as having a 40 percent likelihood of raising interest rates this month, down from 55 percent on Friday, economists at the bank said in a note sent late on Tuesday.

The revision came after data on Tuesday showed that the U.S. economy's service sector expanded in August but at a slower pace than in July, and the fall from the previous month was the largest since the 2008 financial crisis.

"While this is just one indicator, the surprise was meaningful, and there may have been some Fed officials feeling lukewarm on a September hike to begin with. In these circumstances, one large surprise could carry a lot of weight," Goldman said.

San Francisco Fed President John Williams also gave no new clues that a rate hike is likely this month when he spoke on Tuesday, Goldman said.

Goldman had raised its estimate of a September rate hike on Friday after nonfarm payrolls rose by 151,00 jobs in August, saying that employment growth was above the pace Fed officials typically consider sufficient to hold the unemployment rate steady over time.

Goldman now sees a 70 percent chance that the U.S. central bank will raise rates at least once this year, down from 80 percent.

© 2026 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.


StreetTalk
Goldman Sachs has reduced its expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its September meeting, citing weaker-than-expected economic growth and the lack of clear signals from a senior Fed official.
goldman, fed, rate, hike
241
2016-02-07
Wednesday, 07 September 2016 11:02 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Get Newsmax Text Alerts
TOP

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved