(Updates with release of policy statement, projections)
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US central bank kicks off easing cycle
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Fed's policy rate lowered to 4.75%-5.00% range
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Policymakers see another 50 basis points of cuts in 2024
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Fed Governor Bowman dissents; preferred smaller cut
By Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir
WASHINGTON, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve cut
interest rates by half of a percentage point on Wednesday,
kicking off what is expected to be a steady easing of monetary
policy with a larger-than-usual reduction in borrowing costs
that followed growing unease about the health of the job market.
"The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation
is moving sustainably toward 2%, and judges that the risks to
achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in
balance," policymakers on the U.S. central bank's rate-setting
committee said in their latest statement, which drew a dissent
from Governor Michelle Bowman who favored only a
quarter-percentage-point cut.
Policymakers see the Fed's benchmark rate falling by another
half of a percentage point by the end of this year, another full
percentage point in 2025, and by a final half of a percentage
point in 2026 to end in a 2.75%-3.00% range.
The endpoint reflects a slight upgrade, from 2.8% to 2.9%,
in the longer-run federal funds rate, considered a "neutral"
stance that neither encourages nor discourages economic
activity.
Even though inflation "remains somewhat elevated," the Fed
statement said policymakers chose to cut the overnight rate to
the 4.75%-5.00% range "in light of the progress on inflation and
the balance of risks."
The Fed "would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary
policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the
attainment of the Committee's goals," with attention to "both
sides of its dual mandate" for stable prices and maximum
employment.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30
p.m. EDT (1830 GMT) to discuss the policy decision and the
economic outlook. The Fed's policy meeting this week was its
last before voters go to the polls in what is expected to be a
close U.S. presidential election on Nov. 5.
The size of the initial cut will likely raise questions
about the Fed's strategy, and whether policymakers were merely
trying to account for the fast decline in inflation since last
year, or address concerns among some officials that the U.S. job
market may be weakening faster than desired or needed to ensure
inflation fully returns to the Fed's 2% target.
It is currently about half a percentage point above that,
and the new economic projections now show the annual rate of
increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index
falling to 2.3% by the end of this year and down to 2.1% by the
end of 2025.
The unemployment rate is seen ending this year at 4.4%,
higher than the current 4.2%, and remaining there through 2025.
Economic growth is seen at 2.1% through 2024 and 2% next year,
the same as in the last round of projections issued in June.
The Fed had held its policy rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range
since July of 2023 as inflation fell from a 40-year high to a
level that is now approaching the central bank's target.
(Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Paul Simao)
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