Tags: Authers | 2014 | risk | Fed

FT's Authers: 6 Things That Could Go Wrong in 2014

By    |   Monday, 16 December 2013 07:34 AM EST

While some financial commentators are offering upbeat forecasts for 2014, Financial Times columnist John Authers cites six possible booby traps for global economies and markets next year.

1. European deflation. "The consensus is calling for growth of about 1 percent in the eurozone economy next year, with benign inflation. It would not take much to miss these targets," Authers writes.

2. Trouble in Japan. What if the government's aggressive monetary policy doesn't work out so well? Authers asks.

Editor’s Note:
Opinion: Retirees to Be Hit With Social Security Cuts

3. Problems in BIITS — Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa. Those are big emerging markets with major current account deficits.

4. Falling oil prices. While lower oil prices would help consumers and some companies, they would hurt countries that rely on oil exports, such as Russia, Authers writes.

5. Trouble in the Treasury market. A tapering of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing could cause trouble. "A swift rise toward 5 percent [on the 10-year Treasury yield], as the market overreacted to a Fed announcement, could put everything else at risk," Authers says.

6. A bursting of China's credit/property bubble. "It is some decades since any money could be made by betting against China, but the risks remain," he writes.

As for the bullish view, global economic growth will gain at least 3.4 percent next year from less than 3 percent in 2013, amid improvements in Europe, China and other emerging markets, according to economists at Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley, Bloomberg reports.

Editor’s Note: Opinion: Retirees to Be Hit With Social Security Cuts

Related Stories:

© 2026 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.


InvestingAnalysis
While some financial commentators are offering upbeat forecasts for 2014, Financial Times columnist John Authers cites six possible booby traps for global economies and markets next year.
Authers,2014,risk,Fed
287
2013-34-16
Monday, 16 December 2013 07:34 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Get Newsmax Text Alerts
TOP

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved